TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed2d…faee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT3429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Asschebacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
Croatia Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damasbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.11
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Swiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.7
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$18.29
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumichbacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+572.8%+$114.08
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$13.93
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$6.47
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Titouan Droguetbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Braunschweig: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$13.41
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosabacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Liege: Federico Coria vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$13.39
Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Newport: August Holmgren vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passarobacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$23.95
Newport: Mackenzie McDonald vs Adam Waltonbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$6.58
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$9.97
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.15
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$12.28
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+209.3%+$31.06
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$10.55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$8.55
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$14.38
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$15.47
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$6.86
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+43%+$8.89
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-63.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$7.95
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$10.38
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.35
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$4.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.