TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Over46c10,793$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under41c9,920$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over46c6,781$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.0332251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c5,079$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.8910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over69c4,296$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.941,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under55c3,662$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.2175248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under55c1,665$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.2568053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c1,422$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.6612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under61c1,078$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.883,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over69c1,067$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.9920456.9%116 W · 88 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c1,024$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.042,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over69c858$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.0317659.7%105 W · 71 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over24c855.18$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under49c721.32$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.71,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.057352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over69c577.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over3c539.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.543459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over59c502.5$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.582,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c486.23$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9461450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c472.58$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.945,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over44c454.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9964452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under53c442.43$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.324,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over69c429.57$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.395853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over47c423.72$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19912049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c410.91$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.18,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over66c390$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.482636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c315$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.784,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Over39c303$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.177758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over70c284$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3813545.2%61 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over66c256$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.963,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Over70c252$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.145843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c250$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.048,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over63c235.87$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.665,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under54c210.09$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6421550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under42c206.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0534443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.859655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under78c196.44$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.041,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5738252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under58c173.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6337256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over45c168.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0231848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over43c162.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.324,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under36c151.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2613649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over69c142.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.712855.5%71 W · 57 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under78c132.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3692046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under74c131.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.861,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over69c108.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520156.2%113 W · 88 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9a…dbe1backed Under68c97.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2110056%56 W · 44 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under55c95.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.761,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over34c93.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7890446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over46c85.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.266,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa95c…1b63backed Under31c83.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.34850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Over70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.69557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Over42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.928453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under50c76.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over70c76.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5313558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c72.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.662,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over69c68.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.438660.5%52 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under57c68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2453950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over33c67.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.141,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Over43c64.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4310642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under55c62.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.192,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over57c59.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1211535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Over69c56.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3218347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over66c56.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.161,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under36c55.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.442047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under41c54.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.661,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d69…ab3abacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5514450.7%73 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over53c52.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.215,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under41c48.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8151656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under52c48.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a73…1c47backed Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Over69c42.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.648964%57 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over24c42.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1437444.4%166 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under70c41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.471,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under35c40.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.351,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under30c40.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.62per pick23cpaid+285.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.238142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under44c39.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.331,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a86…4eebbacked Over64c38.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.757850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd107…add5backed Under57c38.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.651643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under56c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5752852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over39c34.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.647446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Under33c32.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8215048%72 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.048,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9007…cf89backed Under55c30.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.913151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…c217backed Under55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over66c24.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3255758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under65c22.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9821852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0297…e67fbacked Under66c21.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.355066%33 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under54c21.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8150954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2d…faeebacked Under67c20.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.862250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under79c20.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.297050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7821…7945backed Over69c18.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb175…fd32backed Over70c14.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.