MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d16ae25aadaac3f4d827deace427fb25aca82ae2095e03b811b1b2897e98473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof San Francisco Giants, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 3,431$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.6 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 2,885$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.52 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 2,207$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.35 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 2,022$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.8 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,720$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,709$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.69 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,136$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.21 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 629.72$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 628.74$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.74 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 500$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.04 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 263.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 232.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 201.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 149.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 124.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 122.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 115.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 114.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 73.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 70.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309e…9eacbacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 69.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 80c | 65.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 61.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 57.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 46.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 38.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 36.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 30.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 27.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 23.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.