MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a3262d6edf13c30b02861d73fb06b58b43955936349fc164267365cdeeca3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 432,481$211,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211,015.89 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 51c | 201,530$102,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,739.71 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 93,966$48,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,816.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 32,785$17,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,736.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 27,125$14,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,020 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 21,008$10,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,293.71 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 48c | 16,801$8,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,064.44 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 52c | 15,547$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.68 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 13,816$7,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.64 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 49c | 10,312$5,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.87 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 6,262$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 6,200$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.99 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 5,058$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.63 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 4,798$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 4,380$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d997backed Under | 49c | 3,845$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 2,465$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 51c | 2,278$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.23 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 57c | 2,153$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 2,040$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.19 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Over | 51c | 2,023$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 52c | 1,876$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.3 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 1,729$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 1,642$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.49 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 1,418$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,340$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 1,202$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.69 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 51c | 1,063$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.87 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 52c | 943.23$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.75 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 854.15$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 789.83$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 51c | 780$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 749$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 715.4$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.39 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 680$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.25 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 51c | 637.27$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.26 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 35c | 548.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 55c | 536.36$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 499.79$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 477.33$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 52c | 469.86$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 457.62$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.66 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 454.25$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 25c | 423.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked Under | 49c | 398.76$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 52c | 354.76$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 49c | 311.12$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 39c | 305.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 274.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Under | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 210.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 198.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 63c | 158.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 52c | 153.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 74c | 117.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 51c | 99.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 98.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 43c | 92.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 89.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 52c | 88.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 58c | 84.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 51c | 77.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 59c | 75.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 49c | 69.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 69.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 46c | 68.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 25c | 67.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 45c | 66.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.