MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3df01d128467c9f6908236bf4fe16b50435f3bb0db4310f25f554e4abc7e1c09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 181,674$97,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,866.37 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 84,844$39,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,815.79 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 46,296$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 22,931$10,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,382.8 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 21,632$9,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,681.51 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 21,612$9,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,630.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 21,113$7,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,291.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 16,054$7,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,669.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 16,000$7,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 15,191$8,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,885.69 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 14,674$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 14,565$6,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,091.29 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 23c | 14,238$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 14,051$10,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 12,890$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 11,705$8,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.13 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 11,250$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 10,165$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.79 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 7,816$5,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.58 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 6,000$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 5,414$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.71 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,951$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.54 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 3,883$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.21 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 3,705$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.7 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,705$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 3,617$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 3,457$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.65 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 3,447$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.93 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,417$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,097$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,778$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.22 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,717$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…2b3abacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 2,426$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,201$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.94 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,088$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.88 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,048$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.92 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 1,994$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.04 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,929$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,723$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,721$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.62 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,683$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 1,680$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,601$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.53 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.97 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 1,465$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.82 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,207$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.74 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 1,070$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.44 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 1,057$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 1,050$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 941.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 938$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.52 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 880$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 815.15$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.73 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 699.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2f…0040backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 648.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 590.72$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 564$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 555.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…dd43backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 494.09$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 472.66$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 459.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 434.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 427.91$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 418.48$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 416.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…4ac7backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 359$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 344.83$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.21 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 334.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 325.09$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 312.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 299.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 298.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.