TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeac6…4ac7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$461.34
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$559.11
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$188.24
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,014.89
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.27
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$240
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51.43
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.93
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+79%+$395.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30%+$74.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.