Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df8128c5164577f3c10bba6830893482901dba9f1bcd3f9bf6875582e430c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 59c | 128,366$75,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,736.05 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 43c | 60,217$25,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,576.04 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 41,995$17,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,492.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 36,889$16,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,471.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 58c | 35,847$20,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,791.37 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 34,758$14,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,511.63 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 30,381$10,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 58c | 21,020$12,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,191.47 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 16,836$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,933.24 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 73c | 10,498$7,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.44 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.86 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 42c | 7,093$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.82 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 6,408$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.95 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 5,606$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.67 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…6371backed Yes | 46c | 5,598$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.88 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 69c | 5,539$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.81 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 80c | 5,382$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.55 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 2c | 4,748$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 41c | 4,503$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.77 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 13c | 4,165$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.32 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 4,080$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.23 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 3,863$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.72 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 41c | 3,581$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.8 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 3,162$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.17 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 50c | 3,021$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.05 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2bf6backed Yes | 59c | 2,884$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 17c | 2,846$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.26 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512b…a14ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 2,080$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.92 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…4ac7backed Yes | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,872$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.18 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 45c | 1,781$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.14 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21c…1a43backed Yes | 63c | 1,721$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.37 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,491$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 55c | 1,463$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.27 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Yes | 55c | 1,353$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.62 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.52 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 1,302$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.62 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,254$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.39 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 1,252$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.24 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…0306backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,212$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.84 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 56c | 1,198$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.32 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,166$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.84 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.72 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 43c | 1,133$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d997backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…f485backed Yes | 73c | 1,038$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…fd37backed Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…5e5abacked Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Yes | 69c | 970.36$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 36c | 931.83$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.57 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 60c | 926.73$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 79c | 888$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.88 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 45c | 872.74$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.74 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 863.69$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 58c | 799.99$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 10c | 770$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.37 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 8c | 742.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 693.69$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.28 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 58c | 674.14$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.14 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 13c | 624.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336c…c372backed Yes | 41c | 615.67$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 67c | 607.44$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 49c | 528.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 42c | 515.45$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…f1a2backed Yes | 78c | 513.55$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…5876backed Yes | 69c | 508.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 59c | 508$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 74c | 500$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 58c | 499.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 45c | 496.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.61 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 473.88$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Yes | 52c | 460$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 58c | 446.38$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed No | 55c | 438.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.39 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes | 47c | 427.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.27 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 414.17$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 46c | 408.24$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.85 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 41c | 400$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 64c | 398.32$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 41c | 383.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?No won
- Spain leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.