TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$391,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$427,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes14c49,885$6,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,913.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes17c23,529$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c20,742$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes16c11,242$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.7670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c9,535$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.078,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes12c7,781$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.6117747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43ba…fe72backed Yes18c7,282$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes16c7,200$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Yes17c4,653$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.972532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes14c3,741$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.512,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes6c3,321$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.582,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes3c3,046$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.646012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes16c1,671$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.362,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes2c1,650$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Yes16c1,625$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbb…32afbacked Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012726.8%34 W · 93 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b70…65a0backed Yes17c1,404$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.732015%3 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4acb…e264backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004723.4%11 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes4c1,325$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed Yes15c1,260$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.962458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7d…d997backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009737.1%36 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x330a…0e45backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010838%41 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes16c1,167$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.742,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed No78c1,100$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2471315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-77.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes8c1,091$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes15c1,047$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes14c955.43$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.555121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes11c910$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes15c858.84$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8370648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Yes17c823.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Yes15c739.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes2c691.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8311412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5e9…b14bbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes4c609.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5553629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes3c599.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…abdfbacked Yes16c594.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…c682backed Yes16c593.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.975641.1%23 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x056e…14afbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes16c586.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8241231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes16c525$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes15c516.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.221,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes16c502.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4332042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8524233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes17c499.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes14c491.89$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.432,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1627backed Yes5c409.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.95402.5%1 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick10cpaid-89.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6423540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes16c399.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6429813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01cd…dbc7backed Yes17c387.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.912725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Yes16c380$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.829430.3%89 W · 205 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c378.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.28124.7%20 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes15c319.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8818827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf110…218ebacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef8b…0775backed Yes16c306.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496533.8%22 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes18c301.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3612740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…4e7abacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402152.4%11 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.24per pick29cpaid+114.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2946…8eb4backed Yes16c247.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.64238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes11c247.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6f…341cbacked Yes4c243.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes16c236.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5887938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ec…1481backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes7c195$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6515252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes16c188$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0847321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Yes16c187$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.925529.1%16 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes12c174.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6421050%105 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes15c164.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.712914.7%19 W · 110 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes9c150.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314625.3%37 W · 109 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…777dbacked Yes16c143.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236735.8%24 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe050…ed54backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203040%12 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes16c140$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.416935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf85…2785backed Yes17c135.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Yes15c128.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2211743.6%51 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e60…da40backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc912…500abacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes12c109.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe344…7060backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165334%18 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f3…3a31backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313441.8%56 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522825.4%58 W · 170 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175719.3%11 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes16c99.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…4128backed Yes16c97.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.671513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes16c97.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…41cbbacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5238…ba99backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515335.3%54 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes13c92.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes17c86.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7121623.1%50 W · 166 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21fa…53cdbacked Yes15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea9…9d42backed Yes15c76.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.514548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.