Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f93c1094e7d2e59b2006ceaa057e92d2f22dacd9095db089fe7176561c20e26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 14c | 49,885$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,913.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 17c | 23,529$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 20,742$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 16c | 11,242$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.76 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 9,535$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 12c | 7,781$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.61 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…fe72backed Yes | 18c | 7,282$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 16c | 7,200$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Yes | 17c | 4,653$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.97 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 3,741$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.51 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,321$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 3,046$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 16c | 1,671$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,650$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Yes | 16c | 1,625$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…65a0backed Yes | 17c | 1,404$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 4c | 1,325$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…dc48backed Yes | 15c | 1,260$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d997backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 1,167$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed No | 78c | 1,100$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 8c | 1,091$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 1,047$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes | 14c | 955.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 15c | 858.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Yes | 17c | 823.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 15c | 739.43$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes | 2c | 691.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…b14bbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 4c | 609.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 3c | 599.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…abdfbacked Yes | 16c | 594.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c682backed Yes | 16c | 593.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 586.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes | 16c | 525$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 516.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 16c | 502.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 17c | 499.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 14c | 491.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1627backed Yes | 5c | 409.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 16c | 399.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…dbc7backed Yes | 17c | 387.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 16c | 380$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 378.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 15c | 319.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…218ebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…0775backed Yes | 16c | 306.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 18c | 301.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 29cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 16c | 247.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 11c | 247.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…341cbacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 16c | 236.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 7c | 195$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Yes | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 12c | 174.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 15c | 164.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 9c | 150.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…777dbacked Yes | 16c | 143.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ed54backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf85…2785backed Yes | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Yes | 15c | 128.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc912…500abacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 12c | 109.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…7060backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 16c | 99.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…4128backed Yes | 16c | 97.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 16c | 97.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…41cbbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes | 17c | 86.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 216 | 23.1%50 W · 166 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea9…9d42backed Yes | 15c | 76.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium leading at halftime?this page
- Spain leading at halftime?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.