TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4e60…da40

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT8332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+162.4%+$48.72
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.22
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Australia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Korea Republic leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Czechia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will voter turnout be at least 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+378.2%+$188.09
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 20% and 30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+245.4%+$61.36
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$66.24
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.98
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$136.03
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$52.53
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.