Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x645581d1cda06c752b9ac559a9c2e2b5e6c00138ba88d49db64be12b2a103bed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 25,717$7,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,631.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 9,746$6,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 9,449$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 45c | 8,594$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.79 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 7,762$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.36 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Yes | 43c | 5,199$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.17 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 4,817$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.85 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 5c | 4,033$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 29c | 2,991$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.36 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 2,568$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.66 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 1,613$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.67 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…d405backed Yes | 76c | 1,134$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 8c | 1,071$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 43c | 1,011$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.43 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 75c | 993.45$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 992.94$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 909.18$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.23 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 895.93$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.43 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 63c | 700$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.06 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…c1c2backed Yes | 72c | 697.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 62c | 624.13$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 13c | 621.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 64c | 563.61$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 520.29$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.36 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 58c | 425.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ec9cbacked Yes | 70c | 422.91$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 58c | 412.32$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.15 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 19c | 396.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 387.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…3a47backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 44c | 325$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 57c | 325$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.25 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 322.69$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.93 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 308.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 21c | 291.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 289.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6220…36f4backed Yes | 43c | 286.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 43c | 284.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 268.88$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 44c | 265.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked Yes | 42c | 251$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 22c | 243.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 240.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 55c | 216.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 43c | 204.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 57c | 200.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…1fdbbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 25c | 196.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 73c | 193.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…d117backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 43c | 169.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 57c | 159.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 67c | 152.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 55c | 134.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…0184backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…ea01backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 12c | 130.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…5dd8backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…7398backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 57c | 113$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 22c | 100.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked No | 24c | 99.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 19c | 96.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Yes | 42c | 87.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…a35dbacked Yes | 56c | 85.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 57c | 76.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 41c | 75.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 43c | 65.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 68c | 63.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…96e8backed Yes | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 36c | 53.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d4…a2c1backed Yes | 52c | 53.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 23c | 47.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 58c | 42.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…bd74backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?this page
- Colombia leading at halftime?No won
- DR Congo leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.