TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13c9…1fdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$1,304
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Will the announcers say "Freedom" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will the announcers say "History" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+309.8%+$75.6
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.4
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$476.99
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Senegal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$22.5
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.09
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+203%+$81.21
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52.78
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$69
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$26.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$145.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$334.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.