TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No20c389.77$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2148961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes37c245.24$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8924954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x165e…f5aabacked No24c199$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.161323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x705b…a7b9backed No20c190.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384936.7%18 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…93b4backed No19c166.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed Yes80c119.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.062222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No41c105$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…1fdbbacked No23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.33132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7248140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No79c20.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9948636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e2…d8b0backed No57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.