TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x705b…a7b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4936.7%18 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$170.69
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+525%+$136.5
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$44.71
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$134.66
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$50.31
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$297.92
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$132.03
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luana Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$40.98
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Levan Chokheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.97
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$16.17
UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+393.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+393.7%+$59.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$65.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$70.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.