TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$451,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$461,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c43,985$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes8c32,630$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.4112210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes18c28,515$5,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,044.230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes27c18,656$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes4c11,589$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1829018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c10,325$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes5c9,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6042…413bbacked Yes6c8,216$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.958626.7%23 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes16c8,023$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.9734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes5c7,078$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes5c5,180$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25926618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36c…e7babacked Yes25c5,072$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.1667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c4,315$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.912,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes17c3,345$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.587342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes19c2,589$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9223637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b9…9afebacked Yes5c2,095$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.322240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c9…67c6backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006322.2%14 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd95a…768dbacked Yes5c1,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes8c1,761$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1396729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes6c1,633$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Yes6c1,625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes19c1,540$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.022,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes6c1,530$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6735719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c1,405$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.343,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Yes25c1,208$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Yes5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes19c1,178$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7850833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c1,129$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012417.7%22 W · 102 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe0…4b59backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff1…cb8fbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4c7…df00backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes4c999.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes3c990.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes12c939.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5425125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes5c880$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc93…7a66backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No78c681.66$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7921542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309510.5%10 W · 85 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305012%6 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d0…9141backed Yes8c581.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.521513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Yes5c560$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286136.1%22 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes5c550$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes9c535.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1758642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes5c517$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.851,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514553.8%78 W · 67 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes5c450$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.520325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed Yes4c417$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.684922.4%11 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.18per pick4cpaid+703%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4bdb…0371backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259017.8%16 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes9c411.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377142.3%30 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes14c400.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0350146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014043.6%61 W · 79 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2436423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x911d…3886backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011526.1%30 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a50…9216backed Yes15c397.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603540%14 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Yes7c375$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515923.3%37 W · 122 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275e…3cf4backed Yes9c342.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes12c339.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.941,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705b…a7b9backed Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804936.7%18 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209125.3%23 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…6af8backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205225%13 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes21c311.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5251429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157816.7%13 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153321.2%7 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+76.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511034.5%38 W · 72 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e5e…885cbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204513.3%6 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x62d2…9675backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022518.2%41 W · 184 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511515.7%18 W · 97 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f34…b8f2backed Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55cb…275abacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201038.7%9 W · 94 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cd…972abacked Yes6c249.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146530.8%20 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes8c247.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2948…c872backed Yes6c233.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147222.2%16 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a8…e0cdbacked Yes6c216.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015837.3%59 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104814.6%7 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010130.7%31 W · 70 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…93c4backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+84.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1964…ec64backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-81%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.