Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db0a7ba7ac9d5f121772307b9a7bb208d7fd2d56445130ab9b5d6359042adb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc93…7a66backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 23,587$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 15,808$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.74 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 2c | 12,600$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 2c | 11,014$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…1fb1backed Yes | 3c | 3,894$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 3c | 3,525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 2c | 3,491$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 2c | 3,227$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 2,670$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.43 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…cb8fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 2,156$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…df00backed Yes | 2c | 2,057$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 2c | 2,041$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 2c | 2,033$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 4c | 2,019$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 3c | 1,972$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 3c | 1,873$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 7c | 1,738$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,547$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 11c | 1,423$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,163$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 2c | 1,129$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 10c | 1,037$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Yes | 10c | 959.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 3c | 936.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 935.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…985abacked Yes | 2c | 916.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 3c | 909.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 11c | 900.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 2c | 799.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 3c | 797.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…ad59backed Yes | 3c | 736.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 2c | 717$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 680$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 2c | 677.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…c908backed Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 2c | 524.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 3c | 510$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 18c | 500.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 185 | 10.8%20 W · 165 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Yes | 3c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…76e4backed Yes | 10c | 437.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes | 12c | 423.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 11.9%15 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…2862backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…f2d1backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 12c | 362.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 8c | 350.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 11c | 326.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 299$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes | 5c | 294$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 6c | 276.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…3cf4backed Yes | 11c | 275.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 4c | 261.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes | 11c | 184.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c5…22d5backed Yes | 10c | 161$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 95.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.