TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$479,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$474,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c98,425$7,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,274.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes6c32,581$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.372,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes6c32,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes10c11,105$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.03119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes13c7,998$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6042…413bbacked Yes7c6,918$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4948626.7%23 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes6c5,416$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9417636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes13c4,844$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6106728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f4f…7e04backed Yes6c4,107$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e5…d3febacked Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002524%6 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes6c3,300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1989111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes11c3,250$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes5c2,999$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9622813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b3…8031backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes9c2,451$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2289510.5%10 W · 85 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes5c2,387$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c2,236$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes3c2,156$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9919125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd9…1cefbacked Yes5c1,938$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+122.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes6c1,858$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4824626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes13c1,772$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2286729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes6c1,770$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.225537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012727.6%35 W · 92 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330a…0e45backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010838%41 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f2…f186backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a8…a003backed Yes6c1,605$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.327118.3%13 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…3977backed Yes6c1,596$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.765422.2%12 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae6…e440backed Yes11c1,538$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.12812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2296…a048backed Yes11c1,500$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+250.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No72c1,465$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.4520646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes6c1,250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Yes30c1,250$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9441444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes13c1,016$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes10c1,010$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2818644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes6c892.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553411.8%4 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022324.2%54 W · 169 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb19f…25a8backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffd…b85dbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa21c…1a43backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508530.6%26 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea5…a370backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015517.4%27 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8871…a59abacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dac…dcd9backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508223.2%19 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes8c819.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.292,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d4…fd99backed Yes6c808$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4810418.3%19 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5449…992bbacked Yes12c804.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953417.6%6 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5797…8636backed Yes10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011232.1%36 W · 76 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes13c769.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes6c750$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes6c733.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fe…979bbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018137.6%68 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes3c712.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes3c690$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.017412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd663…ca64backed Yes11c688.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-71.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes5c659.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5816…8167backed Yes8c655.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016920.1%34 W · 135 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes6c652.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes12c633.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6317329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes6c583.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes7c576.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes7c574.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes16c569.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes6c542.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5445820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes5c517.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.982,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes5c517$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418918.5%35 W · 154 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e61…e8f5backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6594…9a61backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308124.7%20 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013122.1%29 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3985…9f1dbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307115.5%11 W · 60 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes5c481.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes11c452.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Yes6c433.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616524.2%40 W · 125 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes7c426.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.481,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes5c419.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.432,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523124.7%57 W · 174 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d85…b397backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.