TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,081,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,067,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,081,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c136,671$22,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,011.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes14c50,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.9417840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes14c40,700$5,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,67856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes14c35,714$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes14c35,714$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes14c35,714$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes13c32,173$4,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,060.838817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes15c22,180$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.182,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes14c20,530$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.1519332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes13c15,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes14c14,286$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes27c12,388$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.7830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes13c11,130$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No78c11,027$8,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.2433843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c9,845$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.851,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes14c8,335$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.885034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes13c8,160$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06035514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes13c7,422$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.861567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes30c7,311$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.714619.6%9 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c6,872$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.694,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes31c6,300$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.9321850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes40c6,035$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.7915040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes13c4,906$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.5527520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes37c4,855$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.992,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes41c4,505$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.6223637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes13c4,246$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.989218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes14c4,231$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes14c4,097$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3746230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes15c4,029$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.4417518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6042…413bbacked Yes14c3,623$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4948626.7%23 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked Yes10c3,393$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.443619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes38c3,009$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8105824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c87…08eebacked Yes20c2,932$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes13c2,791$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes38c2,671$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.2335719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d2b…c1c1backed Yes13c2,227$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.543834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes13c2,214$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.46729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes10c2,168$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes36c2,128$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.081,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked No62c2,123$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.6841444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes36c2,106$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.223540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes13c2,082$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.31,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd6…5c6cbacked Yes15c1,984$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.955431.5%17 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes13c1,888$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.441197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b9…9afebacked Yes22c1,771$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.662240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Yes15c1,750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Yes15c1,750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Yes15c1,750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Yes15c1,750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes59c1,700$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012226.2%32 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c1,682$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.852,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes13c1,677$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21816225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes36c1,540$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.757342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes13c1,540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.25315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes41c1,537$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.992,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed No66c1,494$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes14c1,489$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.46323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes16c1,449$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.722,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Yes43c1,399$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes14c1,358$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.16619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes14c1,340$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.634751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes28c1,306$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2615335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes21c1,275$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf99…045ebacked Yes34c1,254$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4306750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No73c1,194$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.3427255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x909a…e48cbacked Yes38c1,173$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes4c1,173$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.421,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes11c1,146$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4758642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes15c1,143$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes14c1,143$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609510.5%10 W · 85 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Yes14c1,138$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3215424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes18c1,082$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3812117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8876…01fbbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes14c1,070$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.