Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354906843fc1deab7efeb99ce967114f7284e01a7a92d4409d7e049a44c98ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 11c | 9,596$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.61 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 9,133$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 9c | 5,803$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes | 10c | 4,869$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.88 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 4,387$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,974$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 9c | 2,862$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.61 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 10c | 2,164$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 9c | 2,067$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 12c | 593.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 8c | 484.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…475cbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…8d1abacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes | 12c | 166.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 9c | 155.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…98c6backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Yes | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…4399backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…5176backed Yes | 12c | 119.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 76 | 15.8%12 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…cd3ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…d849backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…18cabacked Yes | 16c | 95.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.