TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$614,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c96,798$7,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,287.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes7c42,857$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes6c30,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes6c20,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes75c11,872$8,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,913.6833843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes6c8,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes5c8,390$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.242,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes7c7,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes7c7,143$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes7c6,880$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.630214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes5c6,723$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes7c6,481$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.719125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c5,735$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes7c5,555$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.85119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes7c5,345$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.4926618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9935229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No62c4,846$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.072,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c87…08eebacked Yes8c4,000$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.42835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes6c3,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes7c3,418$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.741756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fe…a16abacked Yes0c3,405$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No71c3,264$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.9745145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes6c3,263$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes6c3,167$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes6c3,143$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7726…71d2backed Yes3c3,140$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006810.3%7 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes6c3,000$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9826445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8783…4eb2backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007529.3%22 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes7c2,750$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.522813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32dc…b4f5backed No22c2,732$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.662744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17527811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3a…1cd3backed No19c2,470$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.281080%8 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.58per pick22cpaid+259.5%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes17c2,402$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1827034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes61c2,396$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.981,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes7c2,240$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.86320.6%13 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes6c2,135$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9735719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes7c2,129$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.032937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes6c2,050$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.99316.5%2 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes69c1,972$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.9885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes7c1,900$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333411.8%4 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes5c1,896$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes7c1,714$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes49c1,684$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.566041.7%25 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes7c1,678$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.461567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4703…3ba6backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100634.8%3 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes7c1,646$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2478835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed No20c1,600$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2802744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes3c1,460$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0210…7193backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ad8…4f74backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008422.6%19 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100773.9%3 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes7c1,408$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes6c1,405$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.551,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes3c1,330$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.897412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes8c1,308$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1319356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes29c1,263$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.17342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes7c1,143$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017930.7%55 W · 124 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes7c1,071$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Yes7c1,071$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes6c1,059$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Yes10c1,020$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes10c1,020$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes38c1,007$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7550833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No47c1,002$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.652,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes10c1,001$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a6…6ffebacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-63.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes1c950$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6518918.5%35 W · 154 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197d…7006backed Yes1c922.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+208.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes7c880.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae6…e440backed Yes7c856.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes9c835.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6733510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd475…825dbacked Yes7c828.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584314%6 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d3…55fcbacked Yes6c806.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes3c805.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2828425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Yes13c761.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.134566.7%30 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+83.4%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xdb0d…13eebacked Yes3c747.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes6c730$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9435035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022324.2%54 W · 169 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509510.5%10 W · 85 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.