Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0f4e9faa724b8688d0d7f8c77b22e73d234aab273aca6c3fe5f4edd615b850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $614,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 96,798$7,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 7c | 42,857$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 6c | 30,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 75c | 11,872$8,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,913.68 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 6c | 8,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 8,390$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 7c | 7,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 7c | 6,880$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 5c | 6,723$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 7c | 6,481$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.7 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 5,735$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,555$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 7c | 5,345$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.49 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 62c | 4,846$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.07 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…08eebacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 6c | 3,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 7c | 3,418$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked Yes | 0c | 3,405$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 71c | 3,264$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.97 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 6c | 3,263$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 3,167$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 6c | 3,143$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 3c | 3,140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…4eb2backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,750$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…b4f5backed No | 22c | 2,732$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…1cd3backed No | 19c | 2,470$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +5.8wins | +0.58per pick | 22cpaid | +259.5%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 17c | 2,402$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.18 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 61c | 2,396$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.98 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Yes | 7c | 2,240$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 6c | 2,135$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes | 7c | 2,129$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,050$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 69c | 1,972$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.98 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 7c | 1,900$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,896$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes | 49c | 1,684$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.56 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 7c | 1,678$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 7c | 1,646$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…8d35backed No | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 3c | 1,460$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…7193backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…4f74backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…1fb1backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 7c | 1,408$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 1,405$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,330$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 8c | 1,308$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,263$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 6c | 1,059$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,020$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 43.9%98 W · 125 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 1,020$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,007$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.75 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 47c | 1,002$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.65 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…6ffebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 1c | 950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…7006backed Yes | 1c | 922.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 7c | 880.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…e440backed Yes | 7c | 856.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 9c | 835.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…825dbacked Yes | 7c | 828.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…55fcbacked Yes | 6c | 806.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 3c | 805.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Yes | 13c | 761.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…13eebacked Yes | 3c | 747.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 6c | 730$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 10.5%10 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.