Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b22e6185250618552185e7de801ee0afe9ff8298304f018cc66c5f89c066f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $496,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 76,653$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 29,041$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 3c | 12,711$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.76 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 0c | 11,450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 5c | 10,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 4c | 9,670$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 3c | 6,061$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 4c | 5,912$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.43 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 4c | 5,602$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 3c | 3,614$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,424$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 4c | 3,333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 3c | 3,292$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,999$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…60dfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,779$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 4c | 2,571$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…4eb2backed Yes | 4c | 2,542$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…78b0backed Yes | 4c | 2,522$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…babdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,458$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 2,343$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…4f74backed Yes | 4c | 2,317$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…7193backed Yes | 4c | 2,298$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 4c | 2,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,041$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9da7backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 4c | 1,721$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 4c | 1,622$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 3c | 1,494$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 3c | 1,343$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 4c | 1,342$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 1,339$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes | 4c | 1,289$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 4c | 1,189$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 3c | 1,037$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,028$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 4c | 1,023$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 3c | 1,020$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes | 3c | 1,009$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 10.5%10 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…9d36backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 4c | 999.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 3c | 962.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 4c | 944.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 4c | 857.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 4c | 817.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 4c | 814.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 4c | 789.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 4c | 789.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes | 3c | 785.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 152 | 13.8%21 W · 131 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Yes | 3c | 757.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 4c | 711.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 3c | 620.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…55ebbacked Yes | 3c | 603.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 4c | 588.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…99c8backed Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…1712backed Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…c908backed Yes | 3c | 555.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 4c | 552.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…87a3backed Yes | 4c | 535.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 4c | 526.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes | 4c | 513.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b1…27fcbacked Yes | 4c | 504.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 4c | 499.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 4c | 499.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 4c | 498.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…c222backed Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…098dbacked Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…348ebacked Yes | 4c | 471.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 3c | 454.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 3c | 454.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…8d1abacked Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…3c1abacked Yes | 3c | 454.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…cfe0backed Yes | 3c | 450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 4c | 431.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…36bebacked Yes | 4c | 399.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 4c | 383.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…826ebacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…f3e7backed Yes | 4c | 368.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.