TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,408,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,773,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,408,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 798 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c270,861$41,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,021.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes13c118,754$15,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,588.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes12c71,982$8,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,224.6656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes9c50,000$4,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,504.2717840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cd…cedcbacked No0c48,526$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.751952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes77c47,826$36,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,956.430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes12c41,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,666.6712210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes12c40,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,20030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes13c39,802$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,802.192828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes11c31,300$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,84438817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes12c28,042$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,677.225034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes13c25,500$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,1852,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes12c25,320$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,282.0425124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes51c24,992$12,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,291.9533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes69c24,448$16,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,548.5724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes13c20,536$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,866.319332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes50c19,926$9,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,962.9720646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes70c18,218$12,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.494,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes12c18,121$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,946.481567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes70c14,972$10,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,420.772,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes11c14,849$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,220.2917827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No58c11,937$6,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,965.6485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes29c10,961$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,776.5427034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No10c9,313$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.2551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes5c9,054$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,629.0419218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes12c9,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,92013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No53c7,759$4,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,111.361,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes9c7,087$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.1225125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No51c6,427$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.941,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes25c6,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9911038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes12c5,750$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0609218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes12c5,676$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,991.2838817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes70c5,645$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3224…dc4dbacked Yes80c5,624$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.673050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes13c5,099$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,437.4715226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c4,917$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,326.676729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes12c4,638$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes77c4,539$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.871,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes11c4,531$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.6727520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed No80c4,484$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.2420186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes63c4,387$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.061,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes13c4,231$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.7715337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes12c4,167$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.6726618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…6962backed Yes12c4,020$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.827211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.157416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6042…413bbacked Yes13c3,845$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.618626.7%23 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes11c3,750$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.991219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes14c3,629$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.3517518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes65c3,553$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.742,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes78c3,312$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.62,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No21c3,264$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.8282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes13c3,077$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.9210234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes11c2,968$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.4535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes12c2,936$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.6528425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes1c2,835$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.9611412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes44c2,615$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.8615040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c2,599$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes13c2,558$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.6933235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes11c2,508$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.3927811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No36c2,465$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.251,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes13c2,405$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.3534751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb70…be84backed Yes17c2,347$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.616414.1%9 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x856e…da74backed Yes13c2,319$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.684325.6%11 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes13c2,308$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.6911914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b83…5452backed Yes13c2,308$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.692128.6%6 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes12c2,250$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fc…c072backed Yes63c2,216$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.116546.2%30 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes14c2,174$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.721,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2300…53f8backed Yes12c2,083$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.338746%40 W · 47 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes14c2,059$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.399510.5%10 W · 85 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes13c2,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7409111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7602619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes11c2,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7606717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes13c2,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7405824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes12c1,965$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.9556022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes11c1,820$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.85315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f96…f46dbacked Yes12c1,745$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.233917.9%7 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+172.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No42c1,732$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.11,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes29c1,676$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.12,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6715616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6718128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6722421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.675623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6710412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Yes64c1,662$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.3210541.9%44 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes30c1,645$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.4519957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…af90backed Yes13c1,619$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.2315537.4%58 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes13c1,615$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.38619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes71c1,539$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2658642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes14c1,529$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.9431611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef0…bb7cbacked Yes17c1,515$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.015137.3%19 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes32c1,500$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.2723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed Yes1c1,500$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4854922.4%11 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.18per pick4cpaid+703%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8a76…53debacked Yes12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3204628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No55c1,475$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.4350833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes21c1,474$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.648720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.