TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02cd…cedc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick78cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.66
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.84
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.84
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.66
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.64
Portugal to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: Second half draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.1
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$36.48
Belgium to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.38
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.13
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$11.3
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.66
Brazil leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$13.52
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Norway to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.89
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$6.01
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winnerbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$10.65
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$7.29
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$5.57
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$6.52
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+181.2%+$19.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Counter-Strike: OG vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Krejcikova (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Blockx (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Set 1 Winner: Erhard vs Rodionovbacked Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.12
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)backed Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)backed Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$8.67
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$14.65
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-68.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$30.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.