Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab65800679676a1d206da8b8133b46bd01186f8cd0b490a86fd8cd27572704d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed No | 0c | 3,602$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 21c | 915.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.23 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 24c | 529.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.03 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 500.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 80c | 478.43$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 6c | 412.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 18c | 356.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.17 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4808…5309backed Yes | 5c | 334.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 26c | 323.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 276.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.58 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 258.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 70c | 240.7$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…e736backed Yes | 38c | 218.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 24c | 215.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 11c | 170$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 59c | 159.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 155.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 153.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 26c | 144.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 28c | 134.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 61c | 124.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 61c | 121.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 26c | 116.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 116.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 16c | 115.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 29c | 110.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 34c | 93.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…76c2backed No | 58c | 90.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 24c | 88.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 35c | 87.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 28c | 76.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 48c | 70.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 66.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 69c | 63.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 61.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 57.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 69c | 57.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 56.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 40c | 46.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 44.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Yes | 44c | 42.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 72c | 41.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 51c | 41.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 35c | 38.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 30c | 34.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 30c | 33.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 80c | 32.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…99d7backed No | 66c | 29.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 72c | 28.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed No | 76c | 27.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed No | 69c | 27.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 43c | 26.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…4348backed No | 61c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…6c41backed No | 59c | 25.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 76c | 19.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…6f96backed No | 76c | 19.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…a062backed No | 75c | 19.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…788cbacked No | 60c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 74c | 16.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 71c | 16.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 13.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 78cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.