Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x458997c344dd2085e602963e8a8b00efb73e4efe57084191b151fef9c1218d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,002$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.26 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 42c | 806.18$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.99 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 46c | 538.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.63 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 44c | 466.97$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 63c | 412.21$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 337.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 269.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.67 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 45c | 267.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x376a…d270backed No | 55c | 262.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 48 | 89.6%43 W · 5 L | +14.9wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +78%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 40c | 252.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 64c | 222.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 203.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 200.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 68c | 190.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 55c | 173.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 37c | 167.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 51c | 165.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 158.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 40c | 156.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 59c | 149.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…11a3backed No | 65c | 145.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 42c | 142.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 59c | 141.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 69c | 140.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 49c | 136.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 63c | 130.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 63c | 127.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed No | 32c | 122.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 50c | 120.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 32c | 117.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 40c | 114.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 42c | 109.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 33c | 107.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 51c | 105.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 44c | 102.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…4b3dbacked Yes | 35c | 99.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 35c | 99.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 99.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 32c | 99.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 46c | 98.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 42c | 98.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 64c | 98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 71c | 95.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…7a97backed Yes | 44c | 94.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 64c | 84.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 33c | 83.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked Yes | 56c | 78.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 65c | 74.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 44c | 65.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 63.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes | 70c | 63.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked No | 33c | 63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 64c | 59.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 36c | 57.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 61c | 55.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 54.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 58c | 52.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked No | 56c | 51.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 80c | 48.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 25c | 47.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 63c | 45.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 67c | 45.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 66c | 44.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 68c | 44.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 46c | 43.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed No | 45c | 41.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 66c | 40.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…af40backed Yes | 49c | 38.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…62a5backed No | 65c | 38.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 64c | 38.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 42c | 38.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed Yes | 52c | 37.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 45c | 37.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed No | 40c | 37.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…aee8backed Yes | 44c | 36.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…99d7backed No | 55c | 35.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 55c | 34.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 39c | 34.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 43c | 33.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 62c | 32.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3f43backed No | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked Yes | 62c | 29.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 34c | 29.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 65c | 28.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…ff72backed Yes | 50c | 28.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 65c | 28.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…89d3backed Yes | 50c | 28.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…724fbacked No | 64c | 28.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…f052backed Yes | 54c | 27.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…fe76backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…c23ebacked Yes | 59c | 25.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…a41bbacked Yes | 53c | 25.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 104 | 10.6%11 W · 93 L | -42.2wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 14-0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x567c…70a5backed No | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 61c | 25.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.