CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d61ac946b773630c42a106d9f20dd482d1ddaaeccf6b3bbaefbff3a536ef7ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BET-M 33of 9INE, BET-M 33
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 9INE | 46c | 2,808$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.05 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked 9INE | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.98 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33 | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BET-M 33 | 51c | 1,527$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.9 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BET-M 33 | 58c | 1,310$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.53 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 9INE | 29c | 608.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9INE | 36c | 413.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BET-M 33 | 51c | 380.42$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed BET-M 33 | 49c | 291.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 9INE | 43c | 210.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed BET-M 33 | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33 | 50c | 197.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BET-M 33 | 26c | 190$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed BET-M 33 | 57c | 161.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 59c | 151.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed 9INE | 13c | 133$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked BET-M 33 | 59c | 122.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed BET-M 33 | 48c | 120.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed 9INE | 56c | 120.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked 9INE | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 54c | 114.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed BET-M 33 | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed BET-M 33 | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed BET-M 33 | 53c | 73.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked BET-M 33 | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed BET-M 33 | 55c | 49.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed BET-M 33 | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…52f0backed 9INE | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 9INE | 64c | 30.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked BET-M 33 | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed BET-M 33 | 47c | 29.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked 9INE | 49c | 27.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…4281backed 9INE | 64c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winner9INE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.