TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac02…b942

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Commodities, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT6656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.22
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$37.69
Busan: Leandro Riedi vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.57
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.62
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.03
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$51.68
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.29
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sunbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.75
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.38
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.98
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.75
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$66.14
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$80.59
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.54
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.71
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.39
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$29.55
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.55
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$25.2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$19.89
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$183.55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+322.6%+$40.85
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170%+$31.24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$10.91
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$82.64
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$16.37
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$92.13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.48
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$29.21
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.62
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$75.62
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+229.5%+$168.78
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$34.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$45.58
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$14.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.84
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.91
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.23
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$41.28
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$15.13
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers - Map 2 Winnerbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$60.38
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$21.86
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$25.36
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.82
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.22
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.39
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.31
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$78.83
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.08
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.23
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$20.23
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.12
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.53
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$12.23
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$68.8
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$34.49
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.12
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.52
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.88
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.12
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$12.33
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+155.8%+$58.1
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$11.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.35
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$48.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$5.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.16
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63.53
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.41
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.49
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$73.41
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$25.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.