CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa609d77c465c9c310208a6a11b32280fc026bf27160705cd90e41cbbb24163f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vasco Esportsof Vasco Esports, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Vasco Esports | 61c | 892.9$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.39 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Crashers | 46c | 718.44$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.05 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crashers | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Crashers | 26c | 450.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Crashers | 37c | 359.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Vasco Esports | 72c | 268$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vasco Esports | 61c | 266.6$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vasco Esports | 64c | 240.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Vasco Esports | 46c | 213.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Vasco Esports | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Crashers | 31c | 179.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353d…16eebacked Crashers | 47c | 173.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Crashers | 34c | 165.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Crashers | 50c | 156.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Vasco Esports | 60c | 135.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 402 | 55.2%222 W · 180 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Vasco Esports | 75c | 131.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Crashers | 39c | 123.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Crashers | 43c | 100.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Crashers | 39c | 92.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed Crashers | 50c | 84.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Vasco Esports | 61c | 79.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Crashers | 33c | 78.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vasco Esports | 67c | 75.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vasco Esports | 55c | 74.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Vasco Esports | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…a9f1backed Vasco Esports | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Vasco Esports | 55c | 53.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crashers | 59c | 49.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Crashers | 32c | 48.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Crashers | 33c | 47.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…37a2backed Vasco Esports | 58c | 40.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Vasco Esports | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Vasco Esports | 71c | 37.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Vasco Esports | 49c | 36.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Vasco Esports | 75c | 32.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Crashers | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Vasco Esports | 73c | 26.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vasco Esports | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vasco Esports | 75c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsVasco Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers - Map 1 WinnerVasco Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.