Middle East · resolved market
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4366ce763418056042fff7c3eb7b49b01d64acbb8d67664de963ce87bbd233c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 28c | 1,911$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.53 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 1c | 1,655$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 73c | 1,032$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 65c | 900.12$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 64c | 862.62$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.85 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 848.35$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.52 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 47c | 821.16$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.99 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 678.96$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 64c | 528.16$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.82 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…628bbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…1936backed Yes | 69c | 433.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 23c | 409$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 71c | 398.78$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…b413backed No | 48c | 397.48$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 46c | 392.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…c460backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 46c | 283.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…5b82backed Yes | 27c | 274.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…acc2backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 67c | 249.96$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…6987backed No | 31c | 249$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 25c | 248.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…621ebacked No | 71c | 209.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 6c | 207.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 70c | 191.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…a59dbacked No | 61c | 164.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…907dbacked No | 73c | 155$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -8.4wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…0828backed Yes | 66c | 150.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…5fafbacked No | 13c | 148.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 17c | 140$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 66c | 139.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 67c | 136.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked No | 74c | 124.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 56c | 116.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…745abacked Yes | 60c | 103.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…1dc5backed No | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…5700backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked No | 16c | 93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked No | 39c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 27c | 81.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…49bdbacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 35c | 78.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…78ddbacked No | 32c | 78.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 76c | 76.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…8d67backed Yes | 45c | 67.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed No | 75c | 67.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 78c | 62.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…0a48backed No | 66c | 61.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…1af5backed No | 69c | 53.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8f…ad42backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…e682backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…2d21backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…a994backed No | 70c | 49.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 44c | 47.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 37c | 45.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…ced9backed Yes | 30c | 42.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…2ee6backed No | 68c | 40.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…4629backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +317.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 58c | 39.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 84 | 82.1%69 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…4e33backed No | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…c509backed No | 32c | 37.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…86b8backed No | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 44c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 30.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…c8b0backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…62ddbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…8aabbacked Yes | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…abf8backed Yes | 72c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 62c | 26.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…2255backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…9f54backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…522abacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…ed51backed Yes | 53c | 24.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 68c | 22.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9446backed No | 76c | 22.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…5da3backed No | 72c | 20.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…f3a7backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…8c61backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…781cbacked No | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 71c | 16.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…bad4backed Yes | 79c | 16.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 15, 2026?No won
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?No won
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?No won
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.