TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d73…216b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
770
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20749.3%102 W · 105 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 207 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$538
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$226.35
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.81
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.26
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,516.98
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.6
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$112.55
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$49.87
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$173.64
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$12.01
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.61
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$457.1
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.4
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$91.49
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.76
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,014.29
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$952.23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$2,403.83
Showing 25 of 207 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT14849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$18.93
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29%+$153.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.26
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.1
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,860.31
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,919.92
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$43
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$18.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.53
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT7247.2%34 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$22.8
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$62.16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$279.92
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$42.96
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.99
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$61.77
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$266
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33%+$145.25
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.81
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.06
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$118
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.65
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$165
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4564.4%29 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+498.8%+$833
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$6.12
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+305.4%+$45.2
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$29.5
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$75
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$24.4
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$89.05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.99
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$120.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$421.78
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.03
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.86
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.5
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.95
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.52
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.94
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$169.39
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.63
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+517.9%+$498.7
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.48
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.67
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.99
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.61
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$77.99
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.7%+$160.16
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST3447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+66%+$63.6
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Will OneStream (OS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will FS KKR Capital (FSK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$73.98
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will Arm Holdings (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Shutterstock (SSTK) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.7
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+210%+$155.8
Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$58.99
Will Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$33.99
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$37.99
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$9
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+194.1%+$65.98
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+166.9%+$68.78
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$158
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$38.76
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$51.5
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.24
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.09
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.93
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,461.74
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,395.26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$719
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$175.12
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$79.95
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.21
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$538.46
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.5%+$69.12
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$145
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.6%+$162.36
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$306.28
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$88
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$279.96
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$95.21
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$330
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$105.6
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$26.97
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.29
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$59.4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+1,252.3%+$926.05
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.2%+$22.6
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+56.2%+$360
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$97.3
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$401.65
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$106.5
Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,272.95
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$91.93
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.9
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79.55
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.48
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.26
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$58.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$63.4
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$129
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Fed rate cut by September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$140.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.49
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$8.84
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$15.35
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$202.51
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29%+$90
Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-66.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.03
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$159.62
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$126
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,777.81
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.4%+$258
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$204.43
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$30.44
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$98.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$9,370.16
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 6500 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+27%+$28.6
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 7000 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$15.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$64.68
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Will "The Grinch" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+215.8%+$59.45
Will "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+59.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$69.77
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,498Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+444%+$11,091.92
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungellitibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.