Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x807a5bd3d52942c2d8b58bf71a583d4aa03a637f3fd9ff7a7c4a1ad818003067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,436,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,490,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,436,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 848 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 46c | 299,465$137,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,151.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…648cbacked No | 34c | 299,445$101,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,811.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 20c | 150,595$29,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,926.17 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 52c | 121,223$63,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,000.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 55c | 105,000$57,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…603abacked Yes | 77c | 89,000$68,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,809.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked No | 3c | 56,332$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0160backed Yes | 62c | 33,646$20,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,872.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 6c | 26,936$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.6 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 8c | 24,981$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.28 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…47e6backed No | 38c | 22,692$8,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,583.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 4c | 22,267$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 35c | 22,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 10c | 21,910$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 22c | 20,732$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470.39 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 4c | 19,302$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.66 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 3c | 18,211$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 70c | 15,333$10,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eff…e593backed Yes | 54c | 15,060$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…71dcbacked Yes | 64c | 13,907$8,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 77c | 13,730$10,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 67c | 13,494$9,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 5c | 12,620$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.85 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 70c | 12,220$8,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.97 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Yes | 57c | 11,989$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked Yes | 54c | 10,372$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 10c | 10,112$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed No | 10c | 9,863$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e0…a793backed Yes | 56c | 9,800$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 60c | 9,693$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,801.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 58c | 9,687$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.27 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…621bbacked No | 50c | 9,077$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 56c | 8,838$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 62c | 7,926$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 6c | 7,825$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…12dfbacked Yes | 54c | 7,806$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 3c | 7,677$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -80%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 75c | 7,332$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 7,300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 28c | 7,093$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.95 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 7,071$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 6c | 7,020$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.29 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 8c | 6,952$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 75c | 6,629$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.87 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 6,615$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.62 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1d43backed Yes | 76c | 6,020$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed Yes | 75c | 6,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked Yes | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 22c | 6,000$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…0c2abacked No | 38c | 5,762$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 68c | 5,250$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 62c | 5,229$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.67 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 59c | 4,924$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.65 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cb…bbf0backed Yes | 66c | 4,749$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 41c | 4,729$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.8 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…1afebacked No | 2c | 4,706$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 4,698$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…7674backed Yes | 65c | 4,343$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked Yes | 68c | 4,228$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…d60dbacked Yes | 70c | 4,215$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 4,157$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 59c | 4,120$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.34 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 76c | 4,025$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.02 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…cd31backed Yes | 64c | 3,920$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 43c | 3,905$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.7 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 70c | 3,878$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 5c | 3,668$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 3c | 3,651$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe3…a828backed Yes | 58c | 3,522$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed No | 4c | 3,514$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 5c | 3,506$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 19c | 3,497$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 1c | 3,300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 4c | 3,270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…ba6cbacked Yes | 65c | 3,228$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d79bbacked No | 5c | 3,194$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…61a7backed No | 69c | 3,185$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1204…4ba6backed No | 3c | 3,129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 4c | 3,104$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,070$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db6…9842backed No | 5c | 3,006$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…f5ecbacked Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 57c | 2,988$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…d0d3backed No | 9c | 2,861$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 4c | 2,852$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 14cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…4da4backed Yes | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 6c | 2,824$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 2,622$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked Yes | 61c | 2,606$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 19c | 2,567$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed Yes | 57c | 2,550$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…4486backed Yes | 59c | 2,547$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?this page
- Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No won
- Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No won
- Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No won
- Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.