TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90a0…7e0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 71 out of 100 (+0.19 per pick).

Best Category AI at 71 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT5164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+29.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major US official out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$114.72
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,012Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$1,488.45
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+182%+$1,032.66
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$690
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$899.99
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+119.2%+$1,359.4
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.4%+$172
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$160
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$747.61
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$511.4
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$7.56
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$80.5
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$109.2
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+103.4%+$203.3
Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.78
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.66
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.4
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$162
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$380
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.79
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$264.96
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+41%+$247.4
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.2%+$104.2
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$526
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+32.7%+$419.33
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Donald Trump say "Turkey" or "Erdogan" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$322.4
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.97
Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$69.03
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$205.97
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$232
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$39.3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$52.3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.16
US x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$50.35
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$25.65
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$109.12
Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$30.35
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$681
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+90.5%+$475
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$600.5
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+172.3%+$400.57
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$530.09
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.2%+$47.04
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$54.84
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+69.6%+$71.8
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.99
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$177.98
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.5
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.5
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$149.4
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$29.4
Will Powell say "Obvious" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$68.25
Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.15
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+106.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Earnings — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google say "Wiz" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$258
Will Google say "Privacy" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.5
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+979.3%+$4,537.17
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+140.3%+$420.37
Will JPMorgan say "Regulation" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+138.1%+$49.84
Will Costco say "Revenue" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$132.78
Will Snowflake say "Open Source" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+168.6%+$345.25
Will Dell say "Dividend" 3+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+154.4%+$364.15
Will Walmart say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+65.2%+$47.23
Will Walmart say "SNAP" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will NVIDIA say "Domestic" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+107%+$37.22
Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+203%+$105.06
Will Disney say "YouTube TV" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$230.59
Will anyone say "Project Kuiper" during the Q2 2025 Amazon earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will anyone say "Supply Chain" during the Q2 2025 Amazon earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$233.12
Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.93
Will anyone say "Cybersecurity" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$61.05
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,305.63
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.29
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,394.97
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.56
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+47.6%+$1,289.75
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$66.3
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$211.25
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$176.25
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$80
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.9%+$7.25
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+113.6%+$292.72
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.34
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.82
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.22
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.7
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$150
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$91.13
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+160.2%+$184.7
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+224.7%+$346
Russia x Ukraine prisoner swap before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.5%+$28.85
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+55.2%+$106.64
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,920.7
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.72
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$147.11
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.5
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,049.69
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104
Will the NFL ban the Tush Push?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$665.99
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.84
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$160.2
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$22
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.77
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.3
Will the announcers say "Header" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.68
Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+6.6wins+0.66per pick24cpaid+726.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$95.43
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+563%+$167.31
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+1,911.2%+$1,073.81
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+1,194.1%+$189.16
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+2,488.8%+$432.62
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+543.7%+$114.5
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$53.25
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58.58
Will Sam Altman say "Claude" or "Gemini" or "Grok" during TBPN appearance on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$21.37
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$69.51
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+112.3%+$238.08
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$43
Will Trump say "Mineral" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$43
Will Trump say "Chip" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$35
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$286.67
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.04
China-EU trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$170.92
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$168.64
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.58
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$304
Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$67.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+161.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$52.8
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$129.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.