Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc300271dbf9f46715ee68d54c6ec21e12f920575cb9c8ec28d2fc36683cda1b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe70…eefabacked No | 66c | 5,508$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 58c | 4,111$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.04 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,223$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.48 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 38c | 2,226$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.43 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 76c | 1,628$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.82 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 33c | 1,509$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 26c | 1,213$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 51c | 1,173$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.74 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 26c | 1,106$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 74c | 843$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf567…3771backed No | 67c | 734.24$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked No | 72c | 722.22$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 74c | 720$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 26c | 708.47$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.86 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Yes | 46c | 681.13$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 66c | 610$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 76c | 608.34$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.56 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 78c | 541.96$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 65c | 527.58$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.01 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed No | 74c | 470$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 75c | 454.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 49c | 433.33$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed No | 64c | 412.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 47c | 412.24$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 25c | 410.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.93 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 74c | 400.01$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 45c | 400$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 43c | 392.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Yes | 53c | 381$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 34c | 380.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 11c | 360.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ee…da09backed Yes | 39c | 350$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…8f97backed No | 5c | 319.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 35c | 307.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 215 | 37.7%81 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 48c | 306.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 47c | 306$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…affcbacked Yes | 50c | 298.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…00c8backed No | 29c | 291.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 42c | 290$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…bd89backed Yes | 48c | 289$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 24c | 286$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 66c | 278.47$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…627abacked Yes | 73c | 274.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed No | 74c | 263$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 65c | 258.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 34c | 242.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 57c | 241.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…2a20backed Yes | 80c | 238.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…ef28backed Yes | 49c | 211.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 66c | 208.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 46c | 198.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed No | 62c | 197.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed Yes | 51c | 190.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…5708backed Yes | 43c | 179.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 33c | 172.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 165.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Yes | 59c | 159.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 51c | 158.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed Yes | 33c | 153.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 67c | 152.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…90b6backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6d…82bfbacked Yes | 55c | 146.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…04cdbacked Yes | 79c | 143.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fa86backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…0019backed Yes | 33c | 140.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed Yes | 23c | 140$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…c0d4backed Yes | 34c | 131.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes | 32c | 128.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…ec46backed No | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…0d4abacked Yes | 50c | 120.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…9c42backed Yes | 59c | 120.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 65c | 120.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Yes | 31c | 116.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 25c | 113.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 43c | 111.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked No | 65c | 109.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…43d7backed Yes | 49c | 103.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…ace0backed Yes | 53c | 101.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…ff9cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…250dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…175fbacked No | 70c | 99.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 44c | 90.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked Yes | 26c | 89.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…4502backed Yes | 53c | 81.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 47c | 78.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked No | 70c | 78.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…7a87backed Yes | 52c | 77.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 45c | 71.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?this page
- Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Goy" or "Goyim" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Witkoff" or "Kushner" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.