Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4425d1027af142bf661c7d715119e0cc977d579e436fc21badce7b07e48eb67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 41c | 1,147$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed No | 77c | 1,097$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 59c | 739$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…930abacked Yes | 20c | 730.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked Yes | 41c | 672$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 59c | 612$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 77c | 583.96$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 59c | 538$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 58c | 509.27$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed Yes | 41c | 499$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked No | 59c | 499$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 58c | 426$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 42c | 419.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…affcbacked Yes | 45c | 419.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…85edbacked Yes | 3c | 399.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 42c | 397$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 58c | 348$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 42c | 348$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…2261backed Yes | 42c | 346$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 18c | 333.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 54c | 331.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked No | 59c | 312$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 41c | 312$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 27c | 311.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Yes | 41c | 306$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…95a0backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Yes | 41c | 235$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 23c | 219.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…e51ebacked Yes | 40c | 216.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9fa3backed No | 58c | 211$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…c17ebacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 56c | 199.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 29c | 190$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 58c | 161$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 19c | 159.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes | 32c | 147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 146.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 69c | 121.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…befabacked Yes | 44c | 113.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 51c | 97.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Yes | 42c | 91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 56c | 71.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 24c | 48.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…ed07backed No | 78c | 48.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…59f7backed Yes | 42c | 47.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 52c | 45.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…92dbbacked Yes | 47c | 44.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 46c | 43.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…a898backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…1ae1backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 68c | 38.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…6e6dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…251ebacked Yes | 41c | 25.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +337.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?this page
- Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Goy" or "Goyim" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Witkoff" or "Kushner" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.