Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e4624f74cccbb93eaf20ee3bcad9752e291da6363f94efd61883dd3ca1eb28

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,981 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes	23c	1,021$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.83	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…f562backed No	77c	958$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.34	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa27…d1d3backed No	69c	854$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.74	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes	31c	767$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.77	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f2…95debacked Yes	30c	646$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.8	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No	74c	639$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.39	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8745…4805backed No	70c	570$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2da…1108backed Yes	36c	563.3$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	17c	487.67$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.06	358	19%68 W · 290 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa092…0bf2backed Yes	4c	458.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdf…85edbacked Yes	2c	457.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	70c	404.28$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.16	511	38.7%198 W · 313 L	+18.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x846d…4ab2backed Yes	23c	395$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.85	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2de8…293cbacked No	77c	358$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.34	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…ac22backed Yes	30c	355$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01dd…fb46backed No	70c	355$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	37cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked No	75c	254.74$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.67	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	30c	250$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	490	23.5%115 W · 375 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28fc…8555backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	194	45.9%89 W · 105 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes	10c	179.72$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.24	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	12c	175.49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	27cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c66…31e3backed No	66c	128$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.37	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b8…84e3backed No	77c	114$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.22	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed No	66c	113$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.98	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e24…ed17backed No	62c	99.36$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.27	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+55%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes	31c	87$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.97	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed Yes	31c	80$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked No	70c	76$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	28c	46.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	865	42.3%366 W · 499 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	31c	43.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5bd…ceaabacked No	71c	40.42$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.72	215	37.7%81 W · 134 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	37c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	135	43.7%59 W · 76 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678d…1943backed No	69c	28.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca0…e59dbacked No	65c	24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	38	50%19 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48d4…c5f8backed No	71c	21.13$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.13	21	81%17 W · 4 L	+3.6wins	+0.17per pick	64cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes	49c	20.31$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…5409backed No	71c	20.21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.86	152	38.2%58 W · 94 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8092…b8a2backed No	70c	20.21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.06	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed No	74c	17.03$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event