Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6786a41f3ddd77d84f35476f261c9d53ac2764b78f81028d55767b041ef12cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 68c | 1,168$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,106$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.53 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…95a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 69c | 854$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 48c | 822.46$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.45 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 31c | 680$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked Yes | 32c | 665$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 31c | 629$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 31c | 564$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 69c | 503$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 25c | 470$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed No | 69c | 466$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 12c | 397.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed Yes | 31c | 346$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked Yes | 32c | 327$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed No | 69c | 298$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed No | 76c | 275.39$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes | 38c | 269.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 18c | 258.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 32c | 176$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 156.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 13c | 148.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 66c | 146.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0451…b87abacked Yes | 43c | 115.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +1,330.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 15c | 101.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked No | 50c | 99.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 69c | 98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…216fbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…4cf4backed No | 78c | 78.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 45c | 61.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…4f17backed No | 51c | 45.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 72c | 41.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…5e03backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 33.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked No | 67c | 16.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?this page
- Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Goy" or "Goyim" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Witkoff" or "Kushner" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.