Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b2b2abe2fed88c1f8bd669fbfd06cfb2bd75454d4ddedc61b86e1fba7e91b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 49c | 1,495$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.77 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…0bf2backed Yes | 18c | 1,084$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 31c | 1,052$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 47c | 608$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…85edbacked Yes | 3c | 607.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 53c | 603$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6be5backed Yes | 24c | 574.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 30c | 401.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 33c | 355.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 68c | 293.08$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Yes | 53c | 238.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Yes | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…bd89backed No | 75c | 188.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…4cf4backed No | 64c | 176.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 174.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…35b3backed Yes | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…250dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…35b7backed No | 71c | 91.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 53c | 91.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 39c | 81.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 70c | 75.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Yes | 40c | 74.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked No | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…8740backed No | 60c | 66.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 55c | 63.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…c664backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…a553backed No | 66c | 57.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 70c | 53.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57e…f4f6backed Yes | 42c | 49.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked Yes | 34c | 47.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…c3b3backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…937cbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 30c | 35.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked No | 78c | 35.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…cd9cbacked No | 61c | 32.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…ecf0backed No | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d0…6142backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…a5a3backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…0463backed No | 50c | 29.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…cd83backed Yes | 51c | 29.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 64c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 64c | 25.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…1885backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…6e6dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…4f25backed No | 53c | 22.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…5721backed No | 60c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?this page
- Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Goy" or "Goyim" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Witkoff" or "Kushner" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.