Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0170b868b5ffefda76f5e79a44f53680fa6342182633a56841e1e8e86845e274

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,293 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1c14…0869backed No	75c	1,683$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.48	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed No	76c	1,142$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.08	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes	22c	950$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	16c	808.45$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.15	358	19%68 W · 290 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed Yes	24c	786$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.64	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b23…0d60backed No	78c	596$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.12	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3f6…f7c2backed Yes	11c	462.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	20c	432.79$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.86	490	23.5%115 W · 375 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	16c	399.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.38	104	44.2%46 W · 58 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	76c	399.99$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	643	39.3%253 W · 390 L	-59.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed No	70c	382.45$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.73	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99ab…edc1backed No	78c	354$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.88	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c6…a448backed Yes	29c	340.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…7eacbacked Yes	6c	335.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f3…e6aabacked No	74c	330$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.34	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.4wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde4a…20cbbacked Yes	32c	314.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Yes	24c	314$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.36	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…91b3backed Yes	30c	274.23$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7c…8356backed No	67c	255.6$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.52	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	14c	251.91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	865	42.3%366 W · 499 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2223…f7f9backed Yes	5c	242.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	17c	230$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	27cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c66…31e3backed No	73c	227.8$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.38	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes	26c	220$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e5e3backed Yes	10c	201.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a22…09dcbacked Yes	10c	199.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf53c…00acbacked Yes	26c	158.48$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0451…b87abacked Yes	35c	141.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	+1,330.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1b3…1426backed No	71c	139.97$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.59	133	60.9%81 W · 52 L	+18.4wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	29c	137.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.82	678	41.6%282 W · 396 L	-20.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed Yes	15c	120$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.51	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes	26c	118$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	68c	104.68$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.28	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+94.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1c7…554dbacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0548…66a0backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2803…e245backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a60…a571backed No	72c	90$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	70c	85$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.14	857	25.2%216 W · 641 L	-115.1wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No	75c	79.1$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.04	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8986…b357backed No	79c	74.36$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.69	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfc…e607backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d2…cd9cbacked Yes	30c	67.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…59f7backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Yes	29c	62.07$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes	30c	60$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes	36c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	27c	53.52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	896	17.1%153 W · 743 L	-57.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf808…6e99backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fb…e392backed Yes	24c	49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9986…e25abacked Yes	49c	40.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed No	73c	40.16$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.83	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732e…0b35backed Yes	31c	39.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	55c	37.45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	296	53.7%159 W · 137 L	+20.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+104.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0433…23dfbacked Yes	29c	35.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d98…f3debacked No	72c	34.68$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.69	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.34per pick	46cpaid	+154.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd5…1193backed Yes	59c	34.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed No	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2947…4cf4backed No	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8d…4f17backed No	73c	29.87$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.19	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+96.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf685…1ddcbacked No	73c	23.75$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.41	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	74c	20.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.53	344	32.3%111 W · 233 L	-31.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6994…eed0backed No	74c	20.7$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-39%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34bd…da1cbacked No	80c	20.61$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ef…1b6ebacked No	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…019dbacked No	76c	16.77$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.01	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d16…528abacked No	72c	14.58$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.08	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event