TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4a60…a571

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6835.3%24 W · 44 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$17.25
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+674.6%+$95.8
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.19
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$14.86
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.14
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+251.5%+$28.62
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$32.1
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.95
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$16.5
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$13.95
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$90.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.35
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+55.8%+$16.5
Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs Phoenix (BO3)backed Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs GenOne (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ChickenBurger (BO3)backed ChickenBurger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)backed XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Skinsauna.gg (BO3)backed Skinsauna.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3)backed Truck Drivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC (BO3)backed FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.58
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs hypewrld (BO1)backed hypewrld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+316.7%+$36.11
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Fingers Crossed (BO1)backed Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs SINQU (BO1)backed SINQU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Fingers Crossed (BO1)backed Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ALLINNERS (BO3)backed ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Altay Esports (BO3)backed Altay Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.66
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs WINNERS (BO3)backed WINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega (BO3)backed DEPO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+240.1%+$26.21
Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Ever Growing (BO3)backed Ever Growing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs Rare Atom (BO5)backed Morningstar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS (BO3)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+281.7%+$36.9
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers (BO3)backed 4Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Dota 2: Aurora vs 4Pirates (BO3)backed 4Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO3)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)backed Game Master · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.77
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3)backed Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Dota 2: Execration vs Ivory (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3)backed Cloud Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Roar Gaming (BO3)backed Roar Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Dota 2: Surge Gaming vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO1)backed Surge Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+220.2%+$89.4
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Spirit Academy (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Most Wanted (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+400%+$79.99
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Spirit Academy (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.28
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Spirit Academy (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Veroja (BO3)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+194.1%+$19.8
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.61
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$83.17
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$21.38
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$40.95
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$40.5
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$16.6
Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+119.3%+$152.3
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$29.16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$52.5
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$29.85
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+39.5%+$25.5
Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+86.4%+$25.49
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$21.99
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$303.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$41.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$419.49
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.6%+$16.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$61.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.9
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+153.2%+$24.2
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+70.2%+$296.89
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+111.8%+$109.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Bowling vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+50.2%+$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$951.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.