CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Fingers Crossed (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76fc66dfb122dc405e38bc268655a51196188ca0a38f1bce3b26eeab564d0036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FriendlyCampersof FriendlyCampers, Fingers Crossed
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa124…19c4backed Fingers Crossed | 23c | 2,447$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 44cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…de5bbacked FriendlyCampers | 77c | 2,071$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…fdb2backed Fingers Crossed | 23c | 1,882$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…cf57backed Fingers Crossed | 25c | 1,713$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…4b3ebacked Fingers Crossed | 23c | 1,563$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…9913backed FriendlyCampers | 75c | 1,469$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14febacked FriendlyCampers | 77c | 1,456$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…3363backed FriendlyCampers | 77c | 1,409$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Fingers Crossed | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…07eabacked FriendlyCampers | 77c | 426$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…567dbacked FriendlyCampers | 75c | 244$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…a023backed FriendlyCampers | 77c | 225$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…a328backed Fingers Crossed | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…0eebbacked FriendlyCampers | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…cecebacked FriendlyCampers | 77c | 154$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…612ebacked FriendlyCampers | 77c | 151$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Fingers Crossed | 22c | 59.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FriendlyCampers | 71c | 42.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked FriendlyCampers | 76c | 32.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…1133backed FriendlyCampers | 79c | 21.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.