NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc34af25221919b98a6c1a743f76cb5f2dca39eccaff88327adb160cf8e4ce2a9

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Magic, Heat
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,641,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,641,662 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Heat	63c	324,709$204,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204,566.57	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Heat	10c	300,000$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Heat	60c	100,767$60,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,460.25	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Magic	40c	100,000$40,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,999.99	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Magic	58c	72,047$41,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,349.31	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat	63c	70,000$44,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,099.98	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	68c	66,709$45,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,398.86	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic	38c	65,789$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,789.47	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Heat	5c	54,950$2,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,675.61	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Magic	37c	51,635$19,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,529.85	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	28c	50,503$14,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,178.22	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Magic	38c	46,458$17,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,809.1	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Heat	63c	42,702$26,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,902.03	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic	37c	40,187$14,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,318.12	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Heat	62c	40,000$24,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,800	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Magic	37c	38,437$14,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,215.31	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Magic	37c	35,194$13,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,172.22	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Magic	37c	32,881$12,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,715.24	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat	61c	32,570$19,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,921	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic	54c	32,260$17,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,879.58	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Magic	37c	30,000$11,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,900	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic	47c	29,172$13,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,345.57	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Heat	44c	27,459$11,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,986.87	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic	43c	27,028$11,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,283.87	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Magic	37c	27,000$9,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,010	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Magic	38c	26,780$10,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,603.69	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Heat	62c	26,615$16,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,488.32	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Heat	62c	25,000$15,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,500	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Heat	61c	24,180$14,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,646.36	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Heat	63c	24,000$15,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,120	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Magic	37c	22,260$8,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,023.8	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Heat	62c	22,164$13,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,741.46	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Magic	37c	21,640$8,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,633.2	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Magic	71c	20,971$14,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,027.17	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Magic	37c	20,669$7,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,021.21	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Heat	60c	20,168$12,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,193.05	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Heat	37c	20,000$7,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,330.72	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Heat	53c	20,000$10,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,597.39	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Magic	38c	20,000$7,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,399.97	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Magic	37c	18,926$7,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,923.19	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Magic	37c	18,600$6,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,718	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Magic	37c	18,019$6,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,352.14	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	62c	17,756$11,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,029.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Magic	38c	16,450$6,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,199	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Magic	61c	16,284$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,284.04	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Heat	62c	16,000$9,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,920	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic	73c	15,711$11,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,251.49	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Heat	20c	15,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	34c	14,209$4,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,901.26	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Heat	62c	13,000$8,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,060	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Heat	63c	12,500$7,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,874.94	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Heat	63c	12,367$7,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,790.91	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat	60c	12,247$7,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,348.36	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Magic	51c	12,194$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,994.04	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Magic	40c	12,163$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,263.35	626	52.2%327 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Magic	37c	11,059$4,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,967.46	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	46c	10,770$4,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,862.19	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Heat	4c	10,131$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.49	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Magic	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,300	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Heat	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,300	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Heat	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.99	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heat	62c	9,999$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,199.67	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic	38c	9,950$3,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,129.34	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Heat	3c	9,863$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.78	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Magic	62c	9,476$5,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,601.56	263	53.6%141 W · 122 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	25c	9,472$2,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,358.42	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Magic	37c	9,288$3,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,851.52	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat	1c	9,177$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.65	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Heat	35c	9,106$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Magic	38c	9,079$3,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,584.48	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	62c	9,000$5,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,580	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Magic	41c	9,000$3,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,303.56	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Heat	63c	8,783$5,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,499.39	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Heat	62c	8,745$5,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,451.83	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat	3c	8,413$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.04	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Magic	55c	8,213$4,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,662.31	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Magic	39c	8,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,880	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic	39c	8,000$3,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,906.56	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	0c	7,861$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.41	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Magic	40c	7,500$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500.17	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Magic	61c	7,444$4,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,877.42	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Magic	37c	7,155$2,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,507.65	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Magic	65c	6,570$4,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.84	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heat	5c	6,432$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.41	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic	46c	6,395$2,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,456.85	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Magic	37c	6,360$2,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,006.8	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Magic	37c	6,360$2,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,006.8	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Magic	75c	6,182$4,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.68	295	47.5%140 W · 155 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked Magic	37c	6,173$2,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,874.9	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.19per pick	40cpaid	-53%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heat	5c	6,038$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.23	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heat	10c	5,967$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.74	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Heat	62c	5,870$3,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,639.4	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Magic	50c	5,843$2,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,905.38	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	50c	5,806$2,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,874.72	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Magic	58c	5,769$3,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,410.88	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Magic	71c	5,696$4,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,623.63	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…b445backed Magic	41c	5,300$2,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,127	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Magic	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,263.16	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Heat	59c	5,245$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Heat	1c	5,107$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.72	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Magic vs. Heatthis page
1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Magic won
1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 22.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jett Howard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Jevon Carter: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Magic vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event