TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,927 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under62c5,552$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.6216846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c3,879$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.343,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under44c2,367$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%0 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Over77c990.78$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8514456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over40c871.2$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.463,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under28c817.35$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9426337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over71c712.26$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5932952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c685.12$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.023,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c671$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.241,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under40c600.03$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.053,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c572.36$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.372,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4511159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c513.94$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over38c511$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over30c507.62$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.331,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c476.76$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over38c437.12$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.041,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Over62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15295848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c399.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c378.86$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Over52c370$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.611957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c322.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c319.82$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…c05ebacked Over56c317.09$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.523066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over66c303.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6428554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14142845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over38c270$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c263.46$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.462,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over38c262.62$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.75,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under28c228.24$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3751438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over41c220.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c206.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over56c196.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over67c193.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7327462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over55c191.49$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.175269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under26c188.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.431,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ac…a09bbacked Over56c184.3$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4413037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under54c154.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c153.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.541,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over41c149.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under31c148.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over57c119.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2620762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over56c119.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over54c118.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8518235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over54c118.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.121,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Over31c112.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4310945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c110.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over58c103.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.975166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c102.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.412,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under29c95.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5128616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2923657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over65c88.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over52c81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8817148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over42c78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1c…d7b7backed Over60c76.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e4…1b83backed Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2330840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over36c71.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under56c71.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.211,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Under45c70.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.156643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under36c60.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over45c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3918440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Over50c56.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.895850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5712661.1%77 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6311354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Under46c52.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.253033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over50c51.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.591,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over44c51.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4614359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over51c50.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0614931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over60c50.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.415558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2531…07a8backed Over66c45.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over71c44.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.851,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d1…5874backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over41c42.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8726043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc586…e465backed Over40c41.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+322.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.234851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over57c39.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.227747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over61c36.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2518242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…e589backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over34c34.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under50c34.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1715663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c32.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.041,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over47c31.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7911826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6242…c0d1backed Over72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.49050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under55c29.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0154351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Over41c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.056026.7%16 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f02…f85fbacked Over48c24.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.822853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd0…e324backed Over57c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c22.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over56c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0417660.8%107 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Over57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.68048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over59c18.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3527463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Over72c17.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.889553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.