NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacec415381429aa1da7899d1b8ea98764a04ad69e807ee058c9d3006a9234ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,927 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 62c | 5,552$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.62 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 3,879$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.34 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 2,367$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.06 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Over | 77c | 990.78$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 871.2$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 28c | 817.35$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 71c | 712.26$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.59 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 40c | 685.12$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 671$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 40c | 600.03$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 572.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.37 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 513.94$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 38c | 511$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.41 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 30c | 507.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.33 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 476.76$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 38c | 437.12$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.04 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 378.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Over | 52c | 370$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 322.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 319.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…c05ebacked Over | 56c | 317.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 66c | 303.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 263.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 262.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 28c | 228.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 41c | 220.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 206.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 56c | 196.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over | 67c | 193.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 55c | 191.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 188.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…a09bbacked Over | 56c | 184.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 54c | 154.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 153.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 41c | 149.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 31c | 148.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 57c | 119.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 119.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 54c | 118.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 118.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 31c | 112.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 110.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 58c | 103.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 102.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 29c | 95.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 65c | 88.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 52c | 81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 42c | 78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…d7b7backed Over | 60c | 76.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…1b83backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 36c | 71.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 56c | 71.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Under | 45c | 70.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 36c | 60.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 50c | 56.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Under | 46c | 52.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 51.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 44c | 51.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 51c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 60c | 50.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2531…07a8backed Over | 66c | 45.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 71c | 44.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…5874backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 41c | 42.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc586…e465backed Over | 40c | 41.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +322.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Over | 61c | 36.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…e589backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 34c | 34.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 50c | 34.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 32.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 47c | 31.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…c0d1backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 55c | 29.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Over | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked Over | 48c | 24.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…e324backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 22.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 56c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 59c | 18.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 72c | 17.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jett Howard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jevon Carter: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HeatMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.