TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f02…f85f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.09
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.65
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$5.81
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35%+$3.82
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$8.94
Spread: Raptors (-16.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$6.87
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$6.94
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$6.05
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$9.02
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$12.82
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$19.2
Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.06
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.89
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.42
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$7.51
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.89
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$213.51
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$100
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$366.67
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$92.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.5
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.03
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$3.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$3.7
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$5.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+64%+$128.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.6%+$360.27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$22.51
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.55
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$12.74
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$4.54
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$4.28
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australiabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$9.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tallahassee: Oliver Crawford vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$25.45
Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$3.35
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$6.87
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Rusebacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$10.76
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Menabacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$4.23
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.42
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$5.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$3.34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+59.2%+$260.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$9.12
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5)backed Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.74
Will Amazon reach $216 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$71.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+159%+$80.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$5.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.