NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81b5dd94a9cbd3619bde6d6df1e6b73d68d8a67015849ba9a6f63cf70bbb47a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,100 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 52c | 98,694$51,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,321.1 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 47,634$22,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,788.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 19,985$9,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,358.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 9,028$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bc…8536backed Over | 48c | 5,802$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 48c | 4,577$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.1 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 4,384$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 3,489$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 2,480$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 2,323$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.96 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 1,614$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 1,568$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.9 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 48c | 752$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 705.87$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 20c | 698$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 76c | 685.52$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 593.5$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.75 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 35c | 572.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 29c | 557.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 76c | 533.68$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 53c | 493.11$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.52 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 67c | 449.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 434.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 58c | 362.07$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 23c | 335.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 52c | 330.65$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 311.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 76c | 220.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Under | 53c | 207.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Under | 53c | 204.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 199.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked Under | 27c | 181.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 74c | 181.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 50c | 172.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Under | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 162.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 52c | 160$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Under | 13c | 155.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…0822backed Under | 30c | 133.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 42c | 127.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 24c | 125.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 75c | 120.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 53c | 98.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 51c | 97.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Under | 52c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked Under | 53c | 94.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Under | 45c | 90.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ce56backed Under | 53c | 74.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 55c | 73.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 32c | 69.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Under | 53c | 52.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…c2adbacked Under | 53c | 43.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 206 | 41.7%86 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…7104backed Under | 52c | 43.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 41.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 48c | 40.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Over | 42c | 31.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…43a3backed Over | 50c | 31.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -80%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed Over | 42c | 29.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 49c | 28.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Over | 42c | 25.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…bcbdbacked Under | 53c | 22.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Under | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…089cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…f29fbacked Under | 53c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 67c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. WizardsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.