NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1bf03b89aa0abbc43d07681f65792a16bdb90228e476316d9e5ddfb17ac0a1

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Warriorsof Warriors, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $145,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,247 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors	54c	43,659$23,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,083.03	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards	46c	40,000$18,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,400	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards	47c	10,702$5,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,030	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors	53c	9,722$5,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,565.38	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors	53c	9,511$5,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,470.16	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Wizards	47c	6,383$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Wizards	47c	5,277$2,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,480	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ad…2223backed Wizards	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Warriors	58c	4,404$2,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,870.41	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65c5…c3f2backed Wizards	48c	3,953$1,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,879	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d4…578bbacked Warriors	53c	3,800$2,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,786	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4678…8f73backed Warriors	53c	3,766$1,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	44c	3,755$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.8	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x262d…d395backed Warriors	53c	3,022$1,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,420.34	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c0…1006backed Warriors	53c	2,899$1,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,362.53	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca2…1b04backed Wizards	46c	2,810$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7392…86e2backed Wizards	46c	2,522$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc5…d1f5backed Wizards	47c	2,466$1,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c00…a6aabacked Wizards	47c	2,455$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12c…251ebacked Wizards	47c	2,422$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce77…34afbacked Warriors	54c	2,312$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.52	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…2146backed Wizards	46c	2,256$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1199…1fd5backed Wizards	46c	2,178$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a3…3167backed Warriors	54c	2,155$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa93e…0d52backed Warriors	54c	2,143$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6eb…75dcbacked Wizards	47c	2,123$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa9a…05e9backed Wizards	46c	2,102$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3917…5f26backed Warriors	54c	2,102$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d6…c655backed Warriors	54c	2,099$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a60…6a31backed Wizards	47c	2,066$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bf…3659backed Warriors	53c	2,066$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x803a…8844backed Wizards	46c	2,056$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors	55c	2,019$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.57	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc8…0017backed Warriors	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b09…2dbbbacked Wizards	47c	1,977$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…734bbacked Wizards	46c	1,902$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e2d…aab9backed Warriors	54c	1,902$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…7b7fbacked Warriors	54c	1,876$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.96	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889f…2aeebacked Wizards	46c	1,856$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda4…020dbacked Warriors	54c	1,788$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3302…0880backed Warriors	54c	1,716$926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0396…a2ccbacked Wizards	46c	1,700$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Wizards	47c	1,693$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.01	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors	54c	1,679$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.85	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0abd…590abacked Wizards	47c	1,655$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b3…90b4backed Warriors	54c	1,623$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac8d…3191backed Wizards	46c	1,588$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc0…ea64backed Warriors	54c	1,500$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafd1…f173backed Warriors	54c	1,498$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e63…a855backed Warriors	54c	1,469$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	45c	1,446$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.71	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0be…913bbacked Warriors	54c	1,322$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.12	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Warriors	54c	1,296$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.3	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7467…70eebacked Wizards	46c	1,235$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Warriors	53c	1,143$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.31	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors	57c	1,128$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.72	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Wizards	47c	936.17$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards	46c	804.02$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.4	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wizards	47c	660$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.2	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Warriors	54c	553.7$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.7	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Wizards	7c	473.28$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors	53c	363.82$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wizards	46c	359$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.14	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Wizards	44c	330.04$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.01	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Warriors	53c	311.35$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.33	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e1…1b03backed Wizards	46c	302$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors	53c	282.11$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.83	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Warriors	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Warriors	54c	227.31$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.56	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387f…316abacked Warriors	55c	225.91$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.66	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Wizards	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Warriors	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Warriors	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Warriors	54c	185.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.18	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors	57c	178.88$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.17	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Wizards	44c	178.58$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.58	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Warriors	67c	148.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.69	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Warriors	54c	148.15$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.15	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Wizards	47c	129$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.18	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Warriors	54c	124.77$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.39	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Wizards	43c	119.73$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards	40c	110$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Warriors	54c	106.4$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.63	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Warriors	54c	103.89$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.79	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wizards	43c	101$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.93	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Warriors	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors	53c	94.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Wizards	45c	92.73$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.73	633	53.1%336 W · 297 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Warriors	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Warriors	54c	89.52$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.18	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Wizards	47c	89.28$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.96	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Wizards	47c	88.87$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.77	94	41.5%39 W · 55 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Wizards	47c	87.72$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.23	98	41.8%41 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Warriors	53c	83$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Wizards	47c	83$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Wizards	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards	42c	75.65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.56	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Warriors	55c	75.58$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.01	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed6…46e2backed Warriors	54c	72.72$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.45	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Bub Carrington: Points O/U 8.5No won
De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Wizards won
Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Warriors vs. WizardsWarriors won
Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Warriors (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event