NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x368345d3f50ad9d71151b6e89dd6f0a20b5dc9063dd861319a195e04d8cd459c

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $266,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,732 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	50c	103,348$51,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,402.06	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Over	52c	77,474$40,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,396.55	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	51c	49,430$24,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,437.86	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	51c	43,427$21,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,439.55	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,799.99	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under	48c	16,427$7,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,884.96	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,099.99	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over	49c	9,636$4,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,914.47	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Over	49c	8,139$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,138.75	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under	48c	8,125$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over	52c	8,000$4,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,840	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under	48c	5,555$2,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,666.4	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	50c	5,129$2,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,564.4	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under	49c	5,018$2,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,458.67	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	48c	4,583$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under	49c	3,910$1,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,915.9	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	50c	2,804$1,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Under	48c	2,531$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.93	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	48c	2,435$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	51c	2,248$1,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.25	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under	32c	1,642$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.15	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under	48c	1,520$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.6	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	49c	1,327$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	49c	1,257$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.87	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Under	49c	918.37$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	68cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under	50c	750$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	78c	695.78$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.42	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under	22c	692.31$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.31	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over	60c	493.15$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.36	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Over	52c	493$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.81	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	483.44$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.72	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	51c	434$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.66	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	47%85 W · 96 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8934…afb3backed Under	21c	400$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	396.02$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.65	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	47c	346.02$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.63	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under	49c	275.51$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	51c	269.36$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.15	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over	51c	264.69$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.63	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over	69c	254$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.36	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under	49c	201.49$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.73	221	54.8%121 W · 100 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	154	46.1%71 W · 83 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc332…118fbacked Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over	49c	189.27$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.53	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	51c	183.04$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.52	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Under	48c	142$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.78	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	52c	141.62$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.41	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Over	50c	140.2$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.1	171	53.2%91 W · 80 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under	49c	122.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	337	48.1%162 W · 175 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	52c	117.32$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.77	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over	51c	104.17$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.04	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under	51c	103$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.53	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	47c	101.89$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…acb1backed Under	53c	101.89$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	43.3%122 W · 160 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Over	51c	98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.02	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Under	51c	95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.45	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	49c	90.35$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.98	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over	52c	87.3$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.9	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	48c	87.3$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.9	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under	49c	86.96$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under	49c	81.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.16	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	56c	72.85$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.05	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	50c	68.61$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3b…2293backed Under	52c	68.54$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.64	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Over	51c	68$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.32	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	50c	66.06$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5228…0923backed Under	53c	64.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	47c	64.15$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a6…4a02backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Under	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under	52c	53.68$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	127	39.4%50 W · 77 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c52…5859backed Under	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-5.3wins	-0.18per pick	44cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f36…81b7backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under	50c	48.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	240	42.9%103 W · 137 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under	49c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over	50c	42.06$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.03	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…7cb4backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Over	52c	38.7$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.7	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc9…7a80backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Under	48c	38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Under	53c	37.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-8.0wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under	49c	37.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	462	55.6%257 W · 205 L	+22.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	51c	37.06$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.16	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under	48c	33.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	118	45.8%54 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over	50c	31.33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.67	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	47c	30.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b22…dd09backed Under	49c	30.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	49c	30.2$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Bub Carrington: Points O/U 8.5No won
De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Wizards won
Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Warriors vs. WizardsWarriors won
Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event