NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccb8d6b72154b52e88651d5ea0790b7de2edf884436c28c08e63c5072af76a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,531,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,701,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,531,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 940 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 74c | 67,567$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,567.42 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Warriors | 74c | 63,257$46,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,711.93 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Wizards | 16c | 58,500$9,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,609.35 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 21c | 44,868$9,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,284.95 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 74c | 35,656$26,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,270.63 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 77c | 34,746$26,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 6c | 32,074$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 14c | 25,784$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.65 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Warriors | 73c | 25,576$18,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.28 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards | 15c | 25,022$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.95 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Wizards | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 12c | 23,068$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.14 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 26c | 21,227$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.01 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Wizards | 25c | 17,243$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.64 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors | 74c | 16,476$12,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.16 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 73c | 15,926$11,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 73c | 15,603$11,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.93 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Warriors | 74c | 15,050$11,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Wizards | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 24c | 14,659$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.12 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Wizards | 27c | 13,579$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.96 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Wizards | 25c | 12,875$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.2 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Wizards | 16c | 12,795$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.26 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Warriors | 73c | 11,400$8,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Wizards | 27c | 11,400$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Wizards | 9c | 11,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…2059backed Wizards | 27c | 11,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 9c | 10,212$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.51 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Wizards | 26c | 9,972$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.61 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 18c | 9,807$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 10c | 9,696$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.22 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 14c | 9,671$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…7903backed Wizards | 26c | 9,155$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.39 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards | 26c | 9,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Wizards | 23c | 8,678$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.83 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 15c | 8,522$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 8,425$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Wizards | 26c | 7,692$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Wizards | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Wizards | 29c | 7,001$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 11c | 6,857$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.33 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Warriors | 73c | 6,512$4,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.18 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…389ebacked Warriors | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards | 27c | 6,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 25c | 5,957$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.37 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 7c | 5,836$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.15 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Wizards | 13c | 5,246$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.66 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Wizards | 3c | 5,174$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 17c | 5,122$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.94 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Wizards | 26c | 5,000$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.02 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…4c19backed Warriors | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Warriors | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Wizards | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Warriors | 79c | 4,910$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.8 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Wizards | 26c | 4,846$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Wizards | 25c | 4,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 14c | 4,308$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.56 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 74c | 4,276$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.83 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc9…cd4cbacked Wizards | 27c | 4,200$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…c5a9backed Warriors | 73c | 4,148$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Warriors | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Wizards | 1c | 4,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Wizards | 8c | 3,582$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards | 26c | 3,323$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards | 27c | 3,200$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Warriors | 73c | 3,192$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.77 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c5…f860backed Wizards | 24c | 3,116$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Warriors | 73c | 3,081$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.86 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wizards | 24c | 2,961$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.1 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Wizards | 27c | 2,961$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.47 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Wizards | 7c | 2,950$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Warriors | 75c | 2,933$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Wizards | 5c | 2,896$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wizards | 23c | 2,814$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.13 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Wizards | 23c | 2,741$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.04 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0821backed Wizards | 27c | 2,740$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6015…025abacked Warriors | 73c | 2,729$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…d246backed Warriors | 74c | 2,710$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…1546backed Wizards | 27c | 2,600$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…33dfbacked Warriors | 74c | 2,553$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Warriors | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…db08backed Wizards | 26c | 2,390$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8e…f763backed Wizards | 26c | 2,371$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Wizards | 13c | 2,330$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.91 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…4f9cbacked Warriors | 74c | 2,316$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539f…9b53backed Wizards | 26c | 2,306$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…e55cbacked Warriors | 74c | 2,120$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…087cbacked Wizards | 27c | 2,120$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 73c | 2,109$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Warriors | 73c | 2,104$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.05 | 244 | 58.2%142 W · 102 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 10c | 2,104$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 2c | 2,092$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Warriors | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98c…3996backed Warriors | 74c | 2,019$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Wizards | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Wizards | 10c | 1,980$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.