Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a6e502ccd9fab12e42e4d22d18d561d329e49870a0b0038edd1c7b39d8fa92

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $899,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $899,329 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	86,395$5,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,859.22	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	36,845$5,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,326.47	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	4c	34,770$1,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256.4	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	31,245$1,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,667.55	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	15c	19,404$2,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,968.37	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	11c	16,422$1,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.9	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	15,684$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.69	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	9c	15,474$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,411.22	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	12c	13,950$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740.04	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	12,778$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.74	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	9c	11,020$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.59	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	8c	10,846$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.34	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bf…a72fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	18c	9,650$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,736.33	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	6c	9,133$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.21	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	11c	8,150$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.86	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	12c	8,130$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.76	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	16c	8,000$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311.71	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	7c	7,641$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	7,600$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.56	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	8c	7,583$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.86	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	11c	7,521$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.91	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	2c	7,000$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.26	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	17c	6,799$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.79	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	12c	6,695$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.85	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	5c	6,386$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.28	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	6c	6,161$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.83	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	13c	6,038$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.95	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x149b…d435backed Yes	1c	5,934$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	12c	5,438$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.05	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	3c	5,200$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.7	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	15c	5,194$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	5,000$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	10c	4,997$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.64	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	16c	4,915$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.2	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	16c	4,722$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.68	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	9c	4,704$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.97	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed Yes	3c	4,663$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.62	65	9.2%6 W · 59 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	4,607$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.95	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	6c	4,550$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.7	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	9c	4,505$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.02	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	3c	4,501$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.28	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	9c	4,489$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.02	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Yes	7c	4,267$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+210.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	12c	4,261$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.3	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	2c	4,252$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	8c	4,097$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.21	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	4c	4,000$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	10c	3,993$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.41	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	15c	3,816$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.96	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	3,784$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.46	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	11c	3,714$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.75	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x760e…119ebacked Yes	11c	3,669$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.98	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	8c	3,567$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.69	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	4c	3,512$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.28	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	3,467$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.17	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	6c	3,447$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.08	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	3,445$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.36	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	3,276$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.19	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	13c	3,268$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.53	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2e…e72ebacked Yes	10c	3,186$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.49	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Yes	2c	3,087$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-60%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	4c	3,081$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.28	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	9c	3,028$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.62	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	6c	3,017$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.29	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	11c	2,955$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.54	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	12c	2,916$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.3	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	8c	2,910$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.85	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	16c	2,823$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.95	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	6c	2,818$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.03	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Yes	1c	2,800$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	186	31.7%59 W · 127 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	9c	2,800$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.87	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x405d…74b1backed Yes	3c	2,795$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.94	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be4…c73cbacked Yes	5c	2,680$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.99	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…931bbacked Yes	10c	2,628$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.79	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	16c	2,626$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.2	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	23c	2,577$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	5c	2,553$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.95	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	11c	2,465$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.06	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Yes	15c	2,442$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.6	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x430b…8cabbacked Yes	4c	2,425$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4243…47a8backed Yes	28c	2,416$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.87	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b2…111cbacked Yes	17c	2,375$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	2,373$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.11	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	14c	2,310$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.73	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	7c	2,279$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.01	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	2,209$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.61	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	2,200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.77	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	16c	2,199$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.12	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4c…60a7backed Yes	5c	2,147$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.94	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked Yes	11c	2,142$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.91	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	5c	2,138$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.27	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1735…0319backed Yes	5c	2,121$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.65	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…e40cbacked Yes	11c	2,110$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.23	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ff…9708backed Yes	11c	2,080$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.36	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x717e…ca8bbacked Yes	11c	2,042$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.65	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	1,937$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	14c	1,932$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.74	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cca…f402backed Yes	8c	1,900$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event