Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556fce55061b111232bde0b22f24433307c74ddd0dff8c3d7a6c744b3951d546

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $881,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,746 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	67,085$4,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,507.34	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d61…2c99backed Yes	1c	40,088$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	22c	33,692$7,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,285.92	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	17c	28,266$4,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,819.05	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd203…dd06backed Yes	0c	22,989$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	7cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74f…de2bbacked Yes	0c	14,800$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	14,776$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.77	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	16c	14,395$2,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,274.28	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	12,685$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.25	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	9c	12,515$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,117.77	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	13c	12,164$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	11,945$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.83	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	21c	10,901$2,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,314.72	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	10,567$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.12	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2172…d549backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Yes	25c	9,644$2,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,427.69	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No	79c	9,093$7,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,913.96	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	25c	8,519$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.7	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	8,279$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	23c	6,969$1,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,626.74	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	14c	6,720$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.93	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	20c	6,555$1,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.45	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	18c	5,927$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.14	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	71c	5,857$4,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696.53	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe97f…413abacked Yes	0c	5,715$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	11c	5,411$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.75	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	0c	5,062$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	122	4.9%6 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	0c	5,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce5…35c7backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	5,000$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.3	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Yes	14c	4,969$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.19	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	4,642$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.3	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	4,629$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.87	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	5c	4,434$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.34	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	13c	4,427$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.12	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	36c	4,311$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.6	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	21c	4,114$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.55	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	15c	4,054$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.44	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	4,006$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	5c	4,000$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.83	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	3,976$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	10c	3,974$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	5c	3,854$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.95	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed No	77c	3,787$2,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.36	108	24.1%26 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa657…00bfbacked Yes	0c	3,750$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes	1c	3,524$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	237	35.4%84 W · 153 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	2c	3,420$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.69	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	21c	3,345$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.4	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	13c	3,193$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.34	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	10c	3,151$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.71	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	11c	3,068$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.48	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	6c	3,060$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.3	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes	19c	3,002$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.58	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	20c	2,936$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.36	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf25e…f9c0backed Yes	22c	2,935$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.03	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…42debacked Yes	28c	2,923$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.98	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb29…ea70backed Yes	4c	2,920$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.12	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Yes	10c	2,815$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	3c	2,799$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	6c	2,706$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.45	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	22c	2,660$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.55	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	2,650$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	2,639$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.67	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	7c	2,607$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.37	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	2,533$1,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.91	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked Yes	1c	2,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	10c	2,452$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.49	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d9…0940backed Yes	20c	2,448$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	6c	2,434$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.53	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864d…64afbacked Yes	7c	2,377$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.76	122	19.7%24 W · 98 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	2,374$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.83	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	2,360$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	2,355$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.57	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	27c	2,316$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.99	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	20c	2,276$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	67c	2,242$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.85	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	63c	2,240$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.39	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c09…eea9backed Yes	39c	2,157$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.54	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	8c	2,143$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.57	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	12c	2,051$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed No	62c	2,005$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.65	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,967$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	11c	1,957$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.72	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	5c	1,900$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.3	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	3c	1,900$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	2c	1,848$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	5c	1,841$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.12	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	24c	1,835$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.43	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes	7c	1,773$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	-12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cca…f402backed Yes	19c	1,734$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a8…7d0cbacked Yes	18c	1,712$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54db…68a7backed Yes	5c	1,704$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes	30c	1,700$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.54	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	20c	1,675$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.96	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	14c	1,635$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.16	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87de…c1e3backed Yes	2c	1,627$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	34c	1,609$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	41c	1,605$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.19	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	12c	1,600$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.6	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event