Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe54035c8696ee47556314f05bab98c2af7bb313a5eabfea73b2c53e80ce26a20

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $745,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	0c	99,382$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.96	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	66,591$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.04	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x609c…765bbacked Yes	0c	59,840$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	33,700$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.06	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	15,926$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.5	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	2c	15,742$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.64	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	0cpaid	+2,531.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	13,463$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.59	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	11,116$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	10,781$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.33	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	10,752$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.87	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	9,621$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.67	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	0c	9,226$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	8,547$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	1c	8,544$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	0c	8,309$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	0c	8,201$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	2c	8,034$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.74	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c2…6b54backed Yes	1c	7,789$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	7,644$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.76	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	0c	7,035$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	4c	6,511$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.61	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8c…7782backed Yes	0c	6,295$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	2c	6,248$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.79	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	6,130$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	4c	5,656$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.6	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9447…91f2backed Yes	0c	5,605$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	0c	5,539$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	4c	5,470$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.64	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	1c	5,434$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.65	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	1c	5,214$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.47	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1735…0319backed Yes	2c	5,202$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.52	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	5,178$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes	1c	5,026$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	-12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x934a…7901backed Yes	0c	5,008$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,893$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.78	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x743a…1b77backed Yes	2c	4,834$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf80f…d26abacked Yes	1c	4,705$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	1c	4,571$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.88	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	1c	4,472$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	4,429$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	1c	4,364$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.55	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ce…8884backed Yes	1c	4,051$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Yes	3c	4,025$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.74	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16a8…7d0cbacked Yes	1c	3,937$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b6…90a8backed Yes	2c	3,690$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.69	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	2c	3,607$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.05	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	1c	3,588$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4784…ad9abacked Yes	1c	3,585$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a16…e158backed Yes	1c	3,573$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	0c	3,449$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	218	18.3%40 W · 178 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	1c	3,383$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.77	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	6c	3,357$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.45	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	3,227$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.59	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	3,195$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.43	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	3,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…00f7backed Yes	2c	3,000$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	5c	2,894$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.52	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	5c	2,891$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.94	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	0c	2,889$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	2c	2,516$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5273…16debacked Yes	0c	2,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2094…16d0backed Yes	2c	2,459$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c83…d131backed Yes	2c	2,449$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.54	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	1c	2,348$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebad…f22bbacked Yes	0c	2,310$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	3c	2,152$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.39	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaff2…9070backed Yes	1c	2,150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	1c	2,010$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d65…6053backed Yes	0c	2,010$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dfa…e524backed Yes	2c	2,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	5c	2,000$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	1c	1,984$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	1,942$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.28	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b2…111cbacked Yes	4c	1,932$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d4…0e8bbacked Yes	3c	1,866$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.72	54	13%7 W · 47 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98b…d34bbacked Yes	1c	1,759$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.74	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…b850backed Yes	1c	1,752$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe380…70e2backed Yes	1c	1,672$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	3c	1,650$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.81	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	3c	1,596$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	1c	1,551$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5899…1a23backed Yes	2c	1,551$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.35	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Yes	1c	1,539$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc14…a665backed Yes	1c	1,529$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	1c	1,506$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	1c	1,413$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed35…9bfebacked Yes	1c	1,412$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee4…9d92backed Yes	2c	1,400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd73…c793backed Yes	2c	1,302$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfada…cd6dbacked Yes	2c	1,294$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	2c	1,258$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	1c	1,254$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dea…5d20backed Yes	2c	1,232$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	4c	1,225$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.61	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	2c	1,215$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	1c	1,124$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4142…79e6backed Yes	3c	1,108$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	5c	1,092$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.75	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event