Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e3ba776308f7edcf4c06ea8e813ed2e0b654c6ff90656957bcc7b51e9f0a93

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $204,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,126 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	13,562$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	15c	12,631$1,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,888.36	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	9,669$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	5c	8,730$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.2	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a16…e158backed Yes	0c	8,151$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	7,579$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.53	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	6,609$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.07	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	13c	6,200$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.2	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	4,544$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.02	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	4,339$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	15c	3,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.99	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	12c	2,515$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.45	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	15c	2,506$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.01	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	2,391$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.04	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	15c	2,339$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.89	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2106…fa73backed Yes	0c	2,204$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	14c	2,132$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.54	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	2,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86f7…4edbbacked Yes	0c	2,031$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9837…16aabacked Yes	15c	1,949$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.62	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	1,921$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.75	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	3c	1,805$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.41	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe77…1449backed Yes	1c	1,738$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	1,630$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.85	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2e…e72ebacked Yes	7c	1,630$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.08	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	9c	1,600$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1f…d43cbacked Yes	2c	1,513$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	13c	1,504$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.89	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	1,276$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.67	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	3c	1,262$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.3	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	1,233$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.84	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…42debacked Yes	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	14c	1,109$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.14	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	1c	1,090$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	5c	1,038$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes	17c	1,016$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01f…574ebacked Yes	11c	1,003$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.98	103	12.6%13 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…fea1backed Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes	13c	1,000$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed Yes	1c	999.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	16c	888.82$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	875$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes	5c	700$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	669.98$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.7	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0994…d307backed Yes	14c	657.78$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.63	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8513…75abbacked Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes	15c	607$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.05	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	8c	600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	560$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	16c	534.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.05	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01bd…ef45backed Yes	2c	509.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0568…f532backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x070e…47b4backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x709b…1001backed Yes	17c	499.98$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…931bbacked Yes	16c	488.06$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.09	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	12c	485$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.08	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…5ab8backed Yes	7c	482.21$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.91	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	447.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24c6…5587backed Yes	16c	400$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	390.39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	9c	390$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b57…5975backed Yes	15c	371$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.65	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…d24cbacked Yes	14c	355$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	14c	350$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9457…76d8backed Yes	15c	329$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	306.83$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.47	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	7c	302.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	3c	301.05$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc83b…6c3bbacked Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec6…20d4backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	12c	249.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.3	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb941…3647backed Yes	16c	243.75$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c6…f2cdbacked Yes	17c	232.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	8c	220.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef9…f85cbacked Yes	12c	212.64$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b4e…d839backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	85	5.9%5 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…ac11backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…d388backed Yes	10c	190.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0337…7ae4backed Yes	19c	189.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3a01backed Yes	7c	186.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…0036backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc3…4972backed Yes	17c	170$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	212	42.5%90 W · 122 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5853…144dbacked Yes	15c	167.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	19%8 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	13c	150$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	13c	140$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.84	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0412…d000backed Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be4…c73cbacked Yes	8c	129.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event